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Oil rises 4% on revived Middle East worries, Hurricane Isaias supply disruption

Reuters · 2026-10-08

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href="/reuters-ipsos-polls/" data-subnav="World_Reuters/Ipsos Polls" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Reuters/Ipsos Polls</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/world/ukraine-russia-war/" data-subnav="World_Ukraine and Russia at War" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Ukraine and Russia at War</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/world/uk/" data-subnav="World_United Kingdom" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">United 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NEXT</a></li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div><span data-focus-scope-end="true" hidden=""></span></div></li><li class="nav-bar-module__nav-item__EUpy4 nav-bar-module__category__bRFMO"><div class="nav-bar-module__nav-button__mCZoN"><a data-testid="Body" href="/business/" data-nav="Business" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__extra_small__8Buss body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__extra_small_body__Bfz20 link">Business</a><button data-testid="DropDownButton" type="button" class="nav-bar-module__button__YVhxE" tabindex="0" data-react-aria-pressable="true" aria-label="Business" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 15 9" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" data-testid="IconChevronDown" class="nav-bar-module__arrow__D1LfD chevron-down"><path d="M14.093.337c-.411-.45-1.028-.45-1.44 0L7.2 6.3 1.749.337c-.411-.45-1.028-.45-1.44 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text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Browse Business</a></h2><div class="nav-dropdown-module__sections__i94UN"><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__sections-group__CPSAa"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/business/aerospace-defense/" data-subnav="Business_Aerospace &amp; Defense" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Aerospace &amp; Defense</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/business/autos-transportation/" data-subnav="Business_Autos &amp; Transportation" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Autos &amp; Transportation</a></li><li><a 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href="/business/finance/" data-subnav="Business_Finance" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Finance</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/" data-subnav="Business_Healthcare &amp; Pharmaceuticals" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Healthcare &amp; Pharmaceuticals</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/business/media-telecom/" data-subnav="Business_Media &amp; Telecom" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf 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body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Future of Money</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/business/take-five/" data-subnav="Business_Take Five" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Take Five</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/business/world-at-work/" data-subnav="Business_World at Work" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">World at Work</a></li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div><span data-focus-scope-end="true" hidden=""></span></div></li><li class="nav-bar-module__nav-item__EUpy4 nav-bar-module__category__bRFMO"><div class="nav-bar-module__nav-button__mCZoN"><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/" data-nav="Markets" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__extra_small__8Buss body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__extra_small_body__Bfz20 link">Markets</a><button data-testid="DropDownButton" type="button" class="nav-bar-module__button__YVhxE" tabindex="0" data-react-aria-pressable="true" aria-label="Markets" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 15 9" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" data-testid="IconChevronDown" class="nav-bar-module__arrow__D1LfD chevron-down"><path d="M14.093.337c-.411-.45-1.028-.45-1.44 0L7.2 6.3 1.749.337c-.411-.45-1.028-.45-1.44 0a1.16 1.16 0 0 0 0 1.576l6.171 6.75c.206.225.515.337.72.337.205 0 .515-.112.72-.338l6.172-6.75a1.16 1.16 0 0 0 0-1.575h.001Z"></path></svg></button></div><div class="nav-bar-module__hidden__1Qi40" data-testid="sectionDropdownContainer" role="presentation"><span data-focus-scope-start="true" hidden=""></span><div data-testid="Markets" class="nav-bar-module__dropdown__bsmM6" id="react-aria-_R_3d7ila_"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__container__X8zm-" data-testid="NavDropdownContainer"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__inner__VS6zv"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__submenu__-HR75"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__inner__VS6zv"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="SectionDropdown" href="/markets/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Browse Markets</a></h2><div class="nav-dropdown-module__sections__i94UN"><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__sections-group__CPSAa"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/on-the-money/" data-subnav="Markets_On the Money" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">On the Money</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/asia/" data-subnav="Markets_Asian Markets" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Asian Markets</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/carbon/" data-subnav="Markets_Carbon Markets" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Carbon Markets</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/commodities/" data-subnav="Markets_Commodities" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Commodities</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/currencies/" data-subnav="Markets_Currencies" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Currencies</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/deals/" data-subnav="Markets_Deals" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Deals</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/emerging/" data-subnav="Markets_Emerging Markets" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Emerging Markets</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/etf/" data-subnav="Markets_ETFs" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">ETFs</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/europe/" data-subnav="Markets_European Markets" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">European Markets</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/funds/" data-subnav="Markets_Funds" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Funds</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/econ-world/" data-subnav="Markets_Econ World" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Econ World</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/global-market-data/" data-subnav="Markets_Global Market Data" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Global Market Data</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/rates-bonds/" data-subnav="Markets_Rates &amp; Bonds" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Rates &amp; Bonds</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/stocks/" data-subnav="Markets_Stocks" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Stocks</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/us/" data-subnav="Markets_U.S. Markets" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">U.S. Markets</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/markets/wealth/" data-subnav="Markets_Wealth" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Wealth</a></li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div><span data-focus-scope-end="true" hidden=""></span></div></li><li class="nav-bar-module__nav-item__EUpy4 nav-bar-module__category__bRFMO"><div class="nav-bar-module__nav-button__mCZoN"><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/" data-nav="Sustainability" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__extra_small__8Buss body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__extra_small_body__Bfz20 link">Sustainability</a><button data-testid="DropDownButton" type="button" class="nav-bar-module__button__YVhxE" tabindex="0" data-react-aria-pressable="true" aria-label="Sustainability" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 15 9" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" data-testid="IconChevronDown" class="nav-bar-module__arrow__D1LfD chevron-down"><path d="M14.093.337c-.411-.45-1.028-.45-1.44 0L7.2 6.3 1.749.337c-.411-.45-1.028-.45-1.44 0a1.16 1.16 0 0 0 0 1.576l6.171 6.75c.206.225.515.337.72.337.205 0 .515-.112.72-.338l6.172-6.75a1.16 1.16 0 0 0 0-1.575h.001Z"></path></svg></button></div><div class="nav-bar-module__hidden__1Qi40" data-testid="sectionDropdownContainer" role="presentation"><span data-focus-scope-start="true" hidden=""></span><div data-testid="Sustainability" class="nav-bar-module__dropdown__bsmM6" id="react-aria-_R_4d7ila_"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__container__X8zm-" data-testid="NavDropdownContainer"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__inner__VS6zv"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__submenu__-HR75"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__inner__VS6zv"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="SectionDropdown" href="/sustainability/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Browse Sustainability</a></h2><div class="nav-dropdown-module__sections__i94UN"><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__sections-group__CPSAa"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/" data-subnav="Sustainability_Boards, Policy &amp; Regulation" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Boards, Policy &amp; Regulation</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/climate-energy/" data-subnav="Sustainability_Climate &amp; Energy" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Climate &amp; Energy</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/land-use-biodiversity/" data-subnav="Sustainability_Land Use &amp; Biodiversity" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Land Use &amp; Biodiversity</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/society-equity/" data-subnav="Sustainability_Society &amp; Equity" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Society &amp; Equity</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/sustainable-finance-reporting/" data-subnav="Sustainability_Sustainable Finance &amp; Reporting" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Sustainable Finance &amp; Reporting</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/the-switch/" data-subnav="Sustainability_The Switch" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">The Switch</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/reuters-impact/" data-subnav="Sustainability_Reuters Impact" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Reuters Impact</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sustainability/cop/" data-subnav="Sustainability_COP31" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">COP31</a></li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div><span data-focus-scope-end="true" hidden=""></span></div></li><li class="nav-bar-module__nav-item__EUpy4"><div class="nav-bar-module__nav-button__mCZoN"><button data-testid="Text" type="button" tabindex="0" data-react-aria-pressable="true" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__extra_small__8Buss nav-bar-module__button__YVhxE">More<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 15 9" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" data-testid="IconChevronDown" class="nav-bar-module__arrow__D1LfD nav-bar-module__more__C7bEy chevron-down"><path d="M14.093.337c-.411-.45-1.028-.45-1.44 0L7.2 6.3 1.749.337c-.411-.45-1.028-.45-1.44 0a1.16 1.16 0 0 0 0 1.576l6.171 6.75c.206.225.515.337.72.337.205 0 .515-.112.72-.338l6.172-6.75a1.16 1.16 0 0 0 0-1.575h.001Z"></path></svg></button></div><div class="nav-bar-module__hidden__1Qi40" data-testid="moreSectionDropdownContainer" role="presentation"><span data-focus-scope-start="true" hidden=""></span><div class="nav-bar-module__dropdown__bsmM6" id="react-aria-_R_l7ila_"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__container__X8zm-" data-testid="NavDropdownContainer"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__inner__VS6zv"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__submenu__-HR75"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__inner__VS6zv"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__more-sections__9LctJ"><div class="nav-dropdown-module__group-container__B7ZaS"><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Legal</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/government/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Government</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/legalindustry/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Legal Industry</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/litigation/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Litigation</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/transactional/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Transactional</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/us-supreme-court/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">US Supreme Court</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/commentary/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Commentary</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/commentary/breakingviews/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Breakingviews</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/commentary/reuters-open-interest/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">ROI: Reuters Open Interest</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Technology</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/artificial-intelligence/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Artificial Intelligence</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/cybersecurity/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Cybersecurity</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/space/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Space</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/disrupted/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Disrupted</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/investigations/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Investigations</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Sports</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/world-cup/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">World Cup</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/athletics/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Athletics</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/baseball/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Baseball</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/basketball/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Basketball</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/cricket/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Cricket</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/cycling/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Cycling</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/formula1/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Formula 1</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/golf/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Golf</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/nfl/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">NFL</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/nhl/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">NHL</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/soccer/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Soccer</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/tennis/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Tennis</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/science/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Science</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/lifestyle/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Lifestyle</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/lifestyle/culture-current/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Culture Current</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/city-memo/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">City Memo</a></h2></section></div><div class="nav-dropdown-module__group-container__B7ZaS"><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/graphics/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Graphics</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/chart-of-the-week/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Chart of the Week</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/pictures/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Pictures</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/wider-image/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Wider Image</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob 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src="https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/3MA2ADNGIRKMBOKQMCZO5TRY3U.jpg?auth=ede0483b7519f56b9bea9303855509843d7e1f0beaf7b816f3556c8874afbc44&amp;width=1920&amp;quality=80" srcSet="https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/3MA2ADNGIRKMBOKQMCZO5TRY3U.jpg?auth=ede0483b7519f56b9bea9303855509843d7e1f0beaf7b816f3556c8874afbc44&amp;width=480&amp;quality=80 480w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/3MA2ADNGIRKMBOKQMCZO5TRY3U.jpg?auth=ede0483b7519f56b9bea9303855509843d7e1f0beaf7b816f3556c8874afbc44&amp;width=640&amp;quality=80 640w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/3MA2ADNGIRKMBOKQMCZO5TRY3U.jpg?auth=ede0483b7519f56b9bea9303855509843d7e1f0beaf7b816f3556c8874afbc44&amp;width=720&amp;quality=80 720w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/3MA2ADNGIRKMBOKQMCZO5TRY3U.jpg?auth=ede0483b7519f56b9bea9303855509843d7e1f0beaf7b816f3556c8874afbc44&amp;width=960&amp;quality=80 960w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/3MA2ADNGIRKMBOKQMCZO5TRY3U.jpg?auth=ede0483b7519f56b9bea9303855509843d7e1f0beaf7b816f3556c8874afbc44&amp;width=1080&amp;quality=80 1080w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/3MA2ADNGIRKMBOKQMCZO5TRY3U.jpg?auth=ede0483b7519f56b9bea9303855509843d7e1f0beaf7b816f3556c8874afbc44&amp;width=1200&amp;quality=80 1200w" sizes="(min-width: 1024px) 560px, (min-width: 1440px) 700px, 100vw" width="5500" height="3095" alt="Middle East crude oil exports exceed pre-war levels but tanker attacks increase"/></div></div><div data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__ultra_small__6-vhY body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__ultra_small_body__WelUC primary-image-module__caption__BFvVU"><span>Vessels at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, October 2, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo <a data-testid="Link" target="_blank" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reutersconnect.com/item/middle-east-crude-oil-exports-exceed-pre-war-levels-but-tanker-attacks-increase/dGFnOnJldXRlcnMuY29tLDIwMjY6bmV3c21sX1JDMlVVTkFVVkJPUg%3D%3D/?utm_medium=rcom-article-media&amp;utm_campaign=rcom-rcp-lead" rel="noopener" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC link-module__with-icon__qlg76 collapsible-caption-module__license__CPQvV">Purchase Licensing<span><span class="link-module__suffix__ObiNY"> Rights</span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 32 32" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" data-testid="NewTabSymbol" class="link-module__new-tab-symbol__d53s7 link-module__move-left__CCZH6 collapsible-caption-module__symbol__943UJ" fill="#666" width="0" height="0"><path fill="currentColor" d="M15 6c.6 0 1 .4 1 1s-.4 1-1 1H9c-.6 0-1 .4-1 1v14a1.1 1.1 0 0 0 .2.6c.1.2.4.4.8.4h14c.6 0 1-.4 1-1v-6c0-.6.4-1 1-1s1 .4 1 1v6a3 3 0 0 1-3 3H9a3 3 0 0 1-2.2-.9A3 3 0 0 1 6 23V9a3 3 0 0 1 3-3Zm10 0 .4.1.5.5.1.4v6c0 .6-.4 1-1 1s-1-.4-1-1V9.4l-5.3 5.3a1 1 0 0 1-.7.3 1 1 0 0 1-.7-.3 1 1 0 0 1 0-1.4L22.6 8H19c-.6 0-1-.4-1-1s.4-1 1-1Z"></path></svg><span style="border:0;clip:rect(0 0 0 0);clip-path:inset(50%);height:1px;margin:-1px;overflow:hidden;padding:0;position:absolute;width:1px;white-space:nowrap">, opens new tab</span></span></a></span></div></figure></div><div class="article-body-module__content__bnXL1"><div data-testid="ContextWidget" class="context-widget-module__container__b9mKr context-widget-module__with-scroll__CmEdD article-body-module__context_widget__sq1EI"><div data-testid="TabContainer" class="context-widget-module__tabcontainer__O1B-s context-widget-module__right-gradient__QLuno"><ul role="tablist" class="context-widget-module__tabs__AIjL0"><li data-testid="summary-tab" role="tab" aria-selected="true" tabindex="0" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf context-widget-module__tab__lRw-D context-widget-module__selected__Et295">Summary</li><li data-testid="companies-tab" role="tab" aria-selected="false" tabindex="-1" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf context-widget-module__tab__lRw-D">Companies</li></ul></div><div data-testid="ContextWidgetContent" class="context-widget-module__content__lI1uo"><ul data-testid="Summary" class="summary-module__summary__QjADA"><li data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf summary-module__point__UgXPz">US having productive discussions with Iran, Trump says, as prices rise</li><li data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf summary-module__point__UgXPz">Tankers in the Strait of Hormuz suffered heavy attacks last week</li><li data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf summary-module__point__UgXPz">About 1.3 million bpd of US Gulf of Mexico oil output shut in ahead of hurricane</li></ul></div></div><div data-testid="paragraph-0" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">HOUSTON, Oct 8 (Reuters) - Oil prices settled 4% higher on Thursday on revived concerns about the ongoing war in <a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">the Middle East</a> ‌and growing supply disruptions due to a hurricane approaching the US Gulf Coast.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-1" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Brent crude futures closed up $4.08, or 4.1%, at $104.28, while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 3.6%, or $3.21, to $91.49. At one point both contracts were up more than $5 a barrel, with Brent touching its highest since September 29 on worries ​about potential US <a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">strikes</a> on Iran and as Hurricane Isaias is set to make landfall on Friday.</div><p data-testid="promo-box" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__promo-box__hVl8h"> <!-- -->Sign up<!-- --> <!-- --> <a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="undefined?location=article-paragraph&amp;redirectUrl=%2Fbusiness%2Fenergy%2Foil-rises-middle-east-supply-concerns-persist-amid-shipping-attacks-2026-10-08%2F" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">here.</a></p><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><div data-testid="paragraph-2" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Prices came off their highs ​after US President <a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/donald-trump/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">Donald Trump</a> said Washington was having productive discussions with Iran, and vowed not to attack ⁠the nation until after the November 3 US midterm elections.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-3" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Iran&#x27;s Tasnim news agency reported that Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said Tehran ​is reviewing the US response to its proposal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days, saying it would reply within ​days.</div><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><div data-testid="paragraph-4" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">However, <a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">the US</a> imposed fresh sanctions on Iran on Thursday, targeting individuals, networks and 17 vessels for transporting Iranian crude, oil products and petrochemicals, the Treasury Department said, in an effort to increase economic pressure on Tehran.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-5" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF"><a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/france/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">France</a> and Saudi Arabia are studying several options involving French military assets to help protect the ​Yanbu oil terminal, France&#x27;s Armed Forces Chief of Staff General Fabien Mandon said on Thursday.</div><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><div data-testid="paragraph-6" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF"><a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/syria-weighs-military-aid-saudi-arabia-amid-yemen-war-sources-say-2026-10-07/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">Syria</a> was also considering providing military assistance to ​key ally Saudi Arabia for its conflict with the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, a US official and a Syrian military official briefed on the ‌matter said. ⁠Options being considered include defensive aid or deployment of forces in an offensive capacity to help Saudi-backed Yemeni troops, the sources said.</div><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS article-body-module__heading__KTJKz">SUPPLY DISRUPTIONS PERSIST</h2><div data-testid="paragraph-7" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">On Wednesday, oil prices settled lower after the International Energy Agency agreed to accelerate the <a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iea-meet-wednesday-over-proposed-release-reserves-say-two-eu-diplomats-2026-10-07/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">release of oil stocks</a> and prioritize diesel supplies as governments grapple with record fuel prices and war-related supply disruptions.</div><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><div data-testid="paragraph-8" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Threats to oil shipping in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, which ​carried shipments equal to about ​20% of global oil and ⁠fuel before the war, have increased in October as the Iran conflict enters its eighth month. <a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/attacks-tankers-hormuz-hit-highest-any-week-since-start-iran-war-sources-say-2026-10-07/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">Attacks on tankers</a> sailing through the strait last week rose to their highest level since the war began, ​even as Gulf producers increased exports.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-9" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">&quot;The frequency of Iranian attacks on ships is now at the ​highest point since the ⁠war began, and likely to intensify further,&quot; said Saul Kavonic, MST Marquee head of energy.</div><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS article-body-module__heading__KTJKz">HURRICANE ISAIAS</h2><div data-testid="paragraph-10" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Hurricane Isaias moved toward US offshore production areas, prompting companies to shut platforms. US Gulf of Mexico oil and gas producers have shut in about 1.3 million barrels per day, or 62.9%, ⁠of ​current oil production as of Thursday, according to the US Marine Minerals Administration.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-11" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">On Wednesday, ​Shell <a data-testid="Link" target="_blank" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/companies/SHEL.L" rel="noopener" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC link-module__with-icon__qlg76">(SHEL.L)<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 32 32" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" data-testid="NewTabSymbol" 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sale to Europe amid Ukraine war, includes gallery" href="/business/energy/us-russia-explore-gas-sale-europe-amid-ukraine-war-say-sources-2026-10-08/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC"><span data-testid="TitleHeading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS title-module__heading__ZrRzk">US and Russia explore gas sale to Europe amid Ukraine war</span></a></div><figure class=" image-container no-caption story-card-module__area-media__N2Hg6" data-testid="MediaImage"><a data-testid="MediaImageLink" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/business/energy/us-russia-explore-gas-sale-europe-amid-ukraine-war-say-sources-2026-10-08/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC image-module__container__dqGwP story-card-module__image-link__4wq06"><div data-testid="Image" class="image story-card-module__image__NNKq2"><div class="styles-module__image-container__E0mCm styles-module__cover__SgyOM styles-module__center_center__bzABO styles-module__apply-ratio__u0jXJ styles-module__transition__joucY" style="--aspect-ratio:1.5"></div><noscript><img src="https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/DBTTPICFRRMA7FIG6KMFDNNJGY.jpg?auth=2434d0661f9f8521c4d25b80586d8d8a31aad5a1d362199ba1e8f793f2929221&width=1200&quality=80" alt="Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with U.S. special representatives Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in Moscow" /></noscript></div></a></figure></div></li><li class="read-next-v2-module__item__F8aJ9" inert=""><div class="story-card-module__tpl-common__G5wYS story-card-module__tpl-full-media-on-top__ps3O2 story-card-module__transition-no-date-for-extra-wide-desktop__20m3z story-card-module__transition-no-date-for-desktop__b65V6 story-card-module__transition-no-date-for-tablet__2zqMx story-card-module__transition-media-on-right-for-mobile__ygju8 read-next-v2-module__story-card__Bus22" data-are-authors="true" data-has-multiple-authors="true" data-dir="ltr" data-testid="StoryCard" tabindex="-1"><time data-testid="DateLineText" dateTime="2026-10-08T14:56:09.576Z" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__ultra_small__6-vhY story-card-module__area-date__p9wlR"> ago</time><span data-testid="KickerLabel" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__extra_small__8Buss label-module__label__Sv2H2 label-module__kicker__jiI-y story-card-module__area-kicker__CYVuk"><a data-testid="KickerLink" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/business/energy/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC">Energy<span style="border:0;clip:rect(0 0 0 0);clip-path:inset(50%);height:1px;margin:-1px;overflow:hidden;padding:0;position:absolute;width:1px;white-space:nowrap">category</span></a></span><div data-testid="Title" class="title-module__title__Lr6MH story-card-module__area-headline__N6EZa"><a data-testid="TitleLink" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/business/energy/asia-races-stockpile-oil-speed-up-renewables-response-iran-war-2026-10-08/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC"><span data-testid="TitleHeading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF 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class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-module__inherit-line-height__1vd2c media-story-card-module__heading__xgKcP">Lawmakers raise alarm at Google plan to acquire Spirit Airlines data for AI models</a></h3><span data-testid="Label" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__default__R2Ckt label-module__label__Sv2H2 kicker_hero media-story-card-module__section__PyVDc"><a data-testid="Link" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/world/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC">World<span style="border:0;clip:rect(0 0 0 0);clip-path:inset(50%);height:1px;margin:-1px;overflow:hidden;padding:0;position:absolute;width:1px;white-space:nowrap">category</span></a> · <time dateTime="2026-10-08T19:49:26.859Z">October 8, 2026 · 7:49 PM UTC</time> ·  ago</span><p data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__large__03GSP body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__large_body__NQgnj media-story-card-module__description__DzXN2">More than 120 US ​lawmakers raised concerns ‌on Thursday about Alphabet&#x27;s Google unit ​acquiring defunct ​carrier Spirit Airlines&#x27; internal ⁠data for $10 million ​to train artificial intelligence ​systems.</p></div></div></li><li class="story-collection-module__list-item__nvJUz story-collection-module__story__A3dpi story-collection-module__default__k3Xt2 story-collection-module__with-spacing__OhP-U" id="6EM4EORE5NKL3OADMX2AM3A5QI" data-testid="one_hero_and_two_columns"><div data-testid="MediaStoryCard" 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heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS media-story-card-module__headline__ZWaRz">US approves potential $300 million sale of Tomahawk capability development to Australia</a><div class="media-story-card-module__date-line__37fk5"><time data-testid="Label" dateTime="2026-10-08T19:29:09.63Z" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__extra_small__8Buss label-module__label__Sv2H2 label-module__small__0kHqa date">7:29 PM UTC</time></div></div></div></li><li class="story-collection-module__list-item__nvJUz story-collection-module__story__A3dpi story-collection-module__default__k3Xt2 story-collection-module__with-spacing__OhP-U" id="F7R3ESOB5ZMHFMBOG3Q5RIIWL4" data-testid="one_hero_and_two_columns"><div data-testid="MediaStoryCard" class="media-story-card-module__hub__y3KsD story-card"><div class="media-story-card-module__placement-container__1ZSB1"><a 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text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6_light__klgho link-group-module__label__mDGn2">Media</h3><ul class="link-group-module__list__yrOzI link-group-module__vertical__vGvtx"><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 16 11" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" aria-labelledby="react-aria-_R_4q67la_"><path d="M15.6665,1.5665 C15.4665,1.433 15.2,1.5 15,1.633 L11.3335,4.233 L11.3335,2.1665 C11.3335,1.033 10.467,0.1665 9.3335,0.1665 L2,0.1665 C0.8665,0.1665 0,1.033 0,2.1665 L0,8.833 C0,9.9665 0.8665,10.833 2,10.833 L9.3335,10.833 C10.467,10.833 11.3335,9.9665 11.3335,8.833 L11.3335,6.7665 L14.9335,9.3665 C15.067,9.433 15.2,9.5 15.3335,9.5 C15.467,9.5 15.5335,9.5 15.667,9.4335 C15.867,9.3 16.0005,9.1 16.0005,8.8335 L16.0005,2.167 C16.0005,1.9005 15.867,1.7005 15.667,1.567 L15.6665,1.5665 Z M10,8.8335 C10,9.2335 9.7335,9.5 9.3335,9.5 L2,9.5 C1.6,9.5 1.3335,9.2335 1.3335,8.8335 L1.3335,2.167 C1.3335,1.767 1.6,1.5005 2,1.5005 L9.3335,1.5005 C9.7335,1.5005 10,1.767 10,2.167 L10,8.8335 Z M14.6665,7.5665 L11.8,5.5 L14.6665,3.4335 L14.6665,7.567 L14.6665,7.5665 Z"></path></svg></div><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/video/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Videos</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 21 18" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation"><path d="M13.1256562,0 C13.3881562,0 13.6506562,0.17954776 13.825875,0.3597705 L15.3135937,2.69996625 L18.375,2.69996625 C19.8627187,2.69996625 21,3.8697266 21,5.3999325 L21,15.3000337 C21,16.8302396 19.8627187,18 18.375,18 L2.625,18 C1.13728125,18 0,16.8302396 0,15.3000337 L0,5.3999325 C0,3.8697266 1.13728125,2.69996625 2.625,2.69996625 L5.6877187,2.69996625 L7.1754375,0.3597705 C7.3506562,0.18022275 7.6131562,0 7.8756562,0 L13.1256562,0 Z M12.6013125,1.79952751 L8.3140312,1.79952751 L6.8263125,4.1397233 C6.6510937,4.319271 6.3885937,4.4994938 6.1260937,4.4994938 L2.6263125,4.4994938 C2.1013125,4.4994938 1.75153125,4.8592643 1.75153125,5.3992575 L1.75153125,15.2993588 C1.75153125,15.839352 2.1013125,16.1991225 2.6263125,16.1991225 L18.3763125,16.1991225 C18.9013125,16.1991225 19.2510937,15.839352 19.2510937,15.2993588 L19.2510937,5.3992575 C19.2510937,4.8592643 18.9013125,4.4994938 18.3763125,4.4994938 L14.8765312,4.4994938 C14.6140312,4.4994938 14.3515312,4.319946 14.0890312,4.1397233 L12.6013125,1.79952751 Z M10.5013125,5.3999325 C12.95175,5.3999325 14.8765312,7.3796828 14.8765312,9.9001012 C14.8765312,12.4205197 12.95175,14.40027 10.5013125,14.40027 C8.050875,14.40027 6.1260937,12.4205197 6.1260937,9.9001012 C6.1260937,7.3796828 8.0515312,5.3999325 10.5013125,5.3999325 Z M10.5013125,7.19946 C9.0135937,7.19946 7.8763125,8.3692204 7.8763125,9.8994263 C7.8763125,11.4296321 9.0135937,12.5993925 10.5013125,12.5993925 C11.9890312,12.5993925 13.1263125,11.4296321 13.1263125,9.8994263 C13.1263125,8.3692204 11.9890312,7.19946 10.5013125,7.19946 Z"></path></svg></div><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/pictures/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Pictures</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 16 16" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" aria-labelledby="react-aria-_R_5q67la_"><path d="M14.386.95c.483.049.907.266 1.213.632v-.01c.296.366.434.811.394 1.276l-.956 9.82c-.079.78-.67 1.394-1.45 1.532v.06c0 .959-.798 1.74-1.774 1.74H1.775C.799 16 0 15.219 0 14.26V4.4c0-.959.799-1.74 1.775-1.74h.582l.108-1.088C2.544.672 3.323 0 4.23 0h.168l9.988.95ZM9.357 8.9l-.039.04v-.01l-5.926 5.745h8.44c.227 0 .414-.148.444-.366v-2.75L9.545 8.9a.208.208 0 0 0-.188 0Zm2.91.84V4.4h-.01a.427.427 0 0 0-.375-.425H1.775a.445.445 0 0 0-.444.366v9.928c0 .159.089.297.227.376L8.39 8.02a1.515 1.515 0 0 1 2.002-.09l.108.09 1.765 1.72Zm-8.57-7.08h8.116c.976 0 1.774.781 1.774 1.74v8.406a.363.363 0 0 0 .119-.188l.02-.07.956-9.809a.432.432 0 0 0-.335-.465l-.07-.02-9.988-.939a.44.44 0 0 0-.473.327l-.02.069-.098.95ZM2.515 6.863c0-.96.8-1.74 1.775-1.74.976 0 1.775.78 1.775 1.74 0 .959-.799 1.74-1.775 1.74-.976 0-1.775-.781-1.775-1.74Zm1.775.435a.44.44 0 0 0 .444-.435.44.44 0 0 0-.444-.435.44.44 0 0 0-.443.435.44.44 0 0 0 .443.435Z"></path></svg></div><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/graphics/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Graphics</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg viewBox="0 0 21 21" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation"><path fill-rule="evenodd" clip-rule="evenodd" d="M4.52695 8.72305C4.52695 5.42421 7.20119 2.74998 10.5 2.74998C13.7989 2.74998 16.4731 5.42421 16.4731 8.72305V11.7234H15.9615C15.4093 11.7234 14.9615 12.1711 14.9615 12.7234V19.6465C14.9615 20.1987 15.4093 20.6465 15.9615 20.6465H18.3C19.515 20.6465 20.5 19.6615 20.5 18.4465V13.9234C20.5 12.7328 19.5543 11.7631 18.3731 11.7246V8.72305C18.3731 4.37487 14.8482 0.849976 10.5 0.849976C6.15185 0.849976 2.62695 4.37487 2.62695 8.72305V11.7246C1.44574 11.7631 0.5 12.7328 0.5 13.9234V18.4465C0.5 19.6615 1.48497 20.6465 2.7 20.6465H5.03846C5.59075 20.6465 6.03846 20.1987 6.03846 19.6465V12.7234C6.03846 12.1711 5.59075 11.7234 5.03846 11.7234H4.52695V8.72305Z"></path></svg></div><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/podcasts/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Podcasts</span></a></li></ul></section></div><section data-testid="LinkGroup" class="site-footer-module__link-group__Hxt4R site-footer-module__hidden-mobile__5cjU9"><h3 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6_light__klgho link-group-module__label__mDGn2">Latest</h3><ul class="link-group-module__list__yrOzI link-group-module__vertical__vGvtx"><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Home</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sitemap/authors/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Authors</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sitemap/topics/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Topic Sitemap</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/archive/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Archive</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sitemap/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Article Sitemap</span></a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="LinkGroup" class="site-footer-module__link-group__Hxt4R"><h3 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6_light__klgho link-group-module__label__mDGn2">Browse</h3><ul class="link-group-module__list__yrOzI link-group-module__vertical__vGvtx"><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/world/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">World</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/business/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Business</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/markets/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Markets</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sustainability/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Sustainability</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/legal/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Legal</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/breakingviews/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Breakingviews</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/technology/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Technology</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/investigations/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Investigations</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sports/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Sports</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/science/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Science</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerPolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/lifestyle/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Lifestyle</span></a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="LinkGroup" class="site-footer-module__link-group__Hxt4R site-footer-module__hidden-mobile__5cjU9"><h3 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6_light__klgho link-group-module__label__mDGn2">Media</h3><ul class="link-group-module__list__yrOzI link-group-module__vertical__vGvtx"><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 16 11" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" 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At one point both contracts were up more than $5 a barrel, with Brent touching its highest since September 29 on worries ​about potential US <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/\">strikes</a> on Iran and as Hurricane Isaias is set to make landfall on Friday.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Prices came off their highs ​after US President <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/us/donald-trump/\">Donald Trump</a> said Washington was having productive discussions with Iran, and vowed not to attack ⁠the nation until after the November 3 US midterm elections.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Iran's Tasnim news agency reported that Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said Tehran ​is reviewing the US response to its proposal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days, saying it would reply within ​days.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"However, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/us/\">the US</a> imposed fresh sanctions on Iran on Thursday, targeting individuals, networks and 17 vessels for transporting Iranian crude, oil products and petrochemicals, the Treasury Department said, in an effort to increase economic pressure on Tehran.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/france/\">France</a> and Saudi Arabia are studying several options involving French military assets to help protect the ​Yanbu oil terminal, France's Armed Forces Chief of Staff General Fabien Mandon said on Thursday.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/syria-weighs-military-aid-saudi-arabia-amid-yemen-war-sources-say-2026-10-07/\">Syria</a> was also considering providing military assistance to ​key ally Saudi Arabia for its conflict with the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, a US official and a Syrian military official briefed on the ‌matter said. ⁠Options being considered include defensive aid or deployment of forces in an offensive capacity to help Saudi-backed Yemeni troops, the sources said.","type":"paragraph"},{"level":1,"content":"SUPPLY DISRUPTIONS PERSIST","type":"header"},{"content":"On Wednesday, oil prices settled lower after the International Energy Agency agreed to accelerate the <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iea-meet-wednesday-over-proposed-release-reserves-say-two-eu-diplomats-2026-10-07/\">release of oil stocks</a> and prioritize diesel supplies as governments grapple with record fuel prices and war-related supply disruptions.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Threats to oil shipping in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, which ​carried shipments equal to about ​20% of global oil and ⁠fuel before the war, have increased in October as the Iran conflict enters its eighth month. <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/attacks-tankers-hormuz-hit-highest-any-week-since-start-iran-war-sources-say-2026-10-07/\">Attacks on tankers</a> sailing through the strait last week rose to their highest level since the war began, ​even as Gulf producers increased exports.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"\"The frequency of Iranian attacks on ships is now at the ​highest point since the ⁠war began, and likely to intensify further,\" said Saul Kavonic, MST Marquee head of energy.","type":"paragraph"},{"level":1,"content":"HURRICANE ISAIAS","type":"header"},{"content":"Hurricane Isaias moved toward US offshore production areas, prompting companies to shut platforms. US Gulf of Mexico oil and gas producers have shut in about 1.3 million barrels per day, or 62.9%, ⁠of ​current oil production as of Thursday, according to the US Marine Minerals Administration.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"On Wednesday, ​Shell <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets/companies/SHEL.L\" target=\"_blank\">(SHEL.L)</a> and Chevron <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets/companies/CVX.N\" target=\"_blank\">(CVX.N)</a> <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/shell-chevron-cut-gulf-mexico-output-tropical-storm-isaias-approaches-2026-10-08/\">said</a> they were curtailing Gulf offshore operations, while BP <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets/companies/BP.L\" target=\"_blank\">(BP.L)</a> said it has removed all personnel and shut production at its Na Kika and Thunder Horse 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And there is a real demand and growth in that. So I think out of many sectors out there, and despite the high borrowing cost, I think there's evidence that these issuance so far has been well received, Especially those issues by hyperscalers up there because their balance sheet is actually very strong so there's no risk of them not repaying the investors so I guess yeah that's why we're still seeing a lot of capital raising by these AI companies. Nvidia, though, is bankrolling the very customers who buy its chips and nerves growing about the risk if the expected profits from AI don't materialise. Yeah, I think, first of all, Nvidia is seeing exceptional growth. We keep seeing that it is generating very high free cash flow and record earnings results after earnings results. So it has huge financial strength to actually finance this AI build-out. So I guess the question is really, is these demands artificial? Is there demand if there's no backing from Nvidia? I think it's very hard to tell at the moment. So I guess, you know, from Nvidia's perspective, Financing these companies, this build-out, is actually a very small fraction of this strong balance sheet. So I guess, actually, I think there is legitimate concern, given there is concern about circular financing, which, as I mentioned, is really about, as investors, You can't really judge whether these demands are artificial or not but i guess these concerns are actually reflected in the derating of invidious valuations or PE already given it is such a high growth company its PE ratio looks really low, and I think that's a lot of skepticism already priced in. Well, this is good news, of course, for other chip makers, since a lot of this money is going to buy chips. Samsung earlier projected an eightfold rise in its operating profit, but its shares fell. Why weren't investors more impressed there? Yeah, I think, first of all, I think investors already have sky-high expectations. So I think investors sort of are immune seeing these numbers, you know, after several earnings season. So I guess it's just really hard to beat these high expectations, first of all. And I think, as you mentioned, I think there's still a lot of scrutiny and skepticism on the financing part of AI trade. If any of these companies slow their capex then you know chip companies who are the hardware providers and makers would obviously suffer most because they have benefited substantially from this capex build out and also i also believe that today the market is kind of in cautious mode given oil prices have spiked four percent given there's renewed escalation in the Middle East. And profit margins are of course being driven by the chip shortage. They're still in short supply as chip makers can't keep up with rocketing demand. But how long will that still be true According to the executives of major chip companies, the consistent message is that the supply constraint is likely to last for the foreseeable future. I think a lot of them mentioned a couple of years. And I think it's really hard to actually gauge where that supply demand eventually converges. Because this is a new technology, we're in unprecedented territory of technological innovation and development. But if you trust the guidance is a very consistent message it's going to be at least a couple of years so till 2030 that's a very typical expectation out there Janet Mui of RBC Brewin Dolphin, don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com"},"published_time":"2026-10-08T10:58:54Z","updated_time":"2026-10-08T10:58:55Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ac776bce4b03d5adffaf5ef","caption":"Samsung projected an eight-fold jump in quarterly profits to $80 billion on Thursday morning, as demand from AI companies drives its margins higher. Janet Mui of RBC Brewin Dolphin told Reuters the market expects it to take several years for chip supply to catch up with demand, meaning the outlook for chipmakers is bright.","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ac776bce4b03d5adffaf5ef"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789865/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW847708102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 08"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"Samsung, chips, Nvidia, AI"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: Chip shortage will drive profits higher 'until at least 2030'"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW847708102026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only. . For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"Samsung projected an eight-fold jump in quarterly profits to $80 billion on Thursday morning, as demand from AI companies drives its margins higher. Janet Mui of RBC Brewin Dolphin told Reuters the market expects it to take several years for chip supply to catch up with demand, meaning the outlook for chipmakers is bright."},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW847708102026RP1"},{"id":"RW813207102026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW813207102026RP1","title":"Market Talk: Risk of AI 'correction' rising","description":"After spending much of the past year treading water, America’s megacap tech giants are finding their stride again and helping power the bull market higher. But as market concentration intensifies, Nils Rode from Schroders Capital told Reuters that the risks of a valuation correction are rising - and private markets offer a more resilient strategy. ","duration":264.56,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"Wall Street is back to record highs as the Magnificent Seven ride to the rescue. After spending much of the past year treading water, America's mega-cap tech giants have found their stride again, Helping to keep the bull market alive as rising bond yields and stubbornly high oil prices pile on the pressure. Yet beneath that strength, the broader market is starting to wobble. So how long can they keep the rally going? Well, it's asked Nils Rode, Chief Investment Officer from Schroders Capital. So Nils, as global bonds sold off, rising yields put pressure on small caps, utilities and home builders, some of the market's most rate-sensitive corners. So, is the AI trade immune? So we see rising risks in this environment with AI concentration being the key driver,  Not only for stock markets, but also increasingly on the private side for private equity. So everything is being driven by the trillion dollar plus type of companies where you have SpaceX,  That has recently been added to the listed side at a much higher valuation than that threshold. And you have other companies, OpenAI, Anthropic, that are scratching at the $1 trillion threshold. We see this as increasing risks because it increases the risk that there will be a correction in expectations and also a correction in variations. While US stocks may be hitting records, but oil prices are being elevated, bond yields are at multi-year highs, and currency markets are volatile. So how should traders build resilience in a high risk world? Yeah, absolutely. You have the other factors, the prolonged conflict in the Middle East, The pressures on interest rates and inflation. So the good news that we see is that on the private market side, there are resilient strategies that can help to add resilience to a portfolio. Also, there are places where you can find diversification. And as always in private markets, it's important to be selective. But talking about resilience, there has been a decoupling between listed markets and large parts of private markets over the last several years Basically since the 2021 peak and that means there are strategies for example small and mid buyouts that have healthy entry valuations,  That have low leverage, that have a significant transformation potential, that are several EBITDA terms more attractive,  From the valuation side than large buyouts and up to 10 times EBITDA are more attractive than listed markets currently,  So that also means there's the upside and potential for an exit so that's one example of a resilience strategy than others across private markets. So with earnings season approaching, the biggest US banks have just had their weakest months since March. Is that a warning that the sector has peaked? What will you be watching for? Yeah, so for the cycle, it's important to take a longer-term view beyond the banking sector. So where we are in our view is we need to take that three to five-year view from the private market side. That's the typical holding period. Sometimes it's longer. Chances are that in three to five years, markets are in a different place than today. We spoke about the AI compact cycle with the risk of a correction, the rising interest rates, rising inflation. So we believe it's time to focus on resilience, diversification, and selectivity. So finally Nils, the backdrop points to more bursts of volatility and history suggests that the upbeat tune we've seen in the markets may not last. So is Wall Street and private equity markets heading for a bumpy finish to the year? We don't see that for private markets, broadly speaking, because most parts of private markets have very good diversification. There has been a lot of discussion this year about software, where there was a software correction listed markets,  And there was software over exposure in one specific part of private markets, namely in US large buyouts. That's where software reached up to 50% of the exposure back a few years ago. But looking beyond US large buyouts, looking to small mid buyouts, which is much more broadly diversified, looking into other private market strategies,  There is and has always been broad diversification, which we believe can let investors sleep very well for those strategies. That was Nils Rode from Schroders Capital. Don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com."},"published_time":"2026-10-07T10:40:12Z","updated_time":"2026-10-07T10:40:13Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ac620dee4b0bd3536cbaa55","caption":"After spending much of the past year treading water, America’s megacap tech giants are finding their stride again and helping power the bull market higher. But as market concentration intensifies, Nils Rode from Schroders Capital told Reuters that the risks of a valuation correction are rising - and private markets offer a more resilient strategy. ","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ac620dee4b0bd3536cbaa55"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789778/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW813207102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 07"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"AI, Treasuries, Yields, Earnings, Dalio, Interest Rates, Fed, Banks"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: Risk of AI 'correction' rising"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW813207102026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only. . For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"After spending much of the past year treading water, America’s megacap tech giants are finding their stride again and helping power the bull market higher. But as market concentration intensifies, Nils Rode from Schroders Capital told Reuters that the risks of a valuation correction are rising - and private markets offer a more resilient strategy. "},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW813207102026RP1"},{"id":"RW785606102026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW785606102026RP1","title":"Market Talk: Growing oil flows 'have reduced Iran's leverage'","description":"Oil flows from the Gulf reached more than 80% of their pre-war levels in September, easing pressure on oil prices globally. Naveen Das of Kpler, which compiles that shipping data, told Reuters high freight rates have encouraged shipowners back to the Gulf, but disruption is far from over. ","duration":276.23,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"Oil flows in the Gulf are returning, hitting more than 80% of their pre-war levels in September. Data shows oil exports from the Gulf have reached more than 80% of the levels they were at when the war in Iran started in February, Easing pressure on oil prices globally. Saudi Arabia's exports have rebounded since drone attacks forced it to shut the east-west pipeline last month, Although exports of refined fuels are still only at 60% of their previous levels. The emergency release of 100 million barrels of diesel and crude from G7 stockpiles agreed on Friday has also eased prices. Naveen Das is a senior analyst at Kpler, which compiles that shipping data. Naveen, how have Gulf countries managed to bring back that supply? Well, as you mentioned before, we are seeing volumes of crude oil exports from the region, similar to where we were before the war. So this data that we've seen for a couple of weeks now has helped ease the bottleneck in terms of inventories that are onshore. And then the knock-on effect of that is that countries in the Middle East have been able to ramp up, albeit slowly, their own oil production. We're still seeing in the Middle East supply around five to five and a half million barrels per day, still below where we were pre-war level. That does include Iran, which is under the U.S. blockade. But essentially, while we are seeing the higher flows leave the region, as I mentioned, similar to pre-war levels, The lack of trust and potentially sustainability of these flows has meant that producers are still not that confident to ramp up supplies even more. Has everyone lost its leverage over global oil supplies, though? Well, there is potentially an element to that.  We are seeing that the attacks are continuing, But because the risks and the high freight rate mean that shippers are more likely to,  Take on voyages, both entering and exiting the Persian Gulf, It does mean that potentially the power from Iran has weakened. But that does not mean that it will stay this way.  I think we are definitely at a critical juncture in the war, Especially around a month before the US midterms, many in the market are seeing this as an inflection point,  Whether we move towards more escalation, as we are seeing in the Red Sea, or a renewed push for diplomacy. So I do think that while the flows potentially reduce Iran's leverage, Or it has done in the last few weeks, that doesn't necessarily mean that that position stays the same in the weeks ahead. Exports of refined products, though, are still way below where they were back in February. So is there still a risk to diesel supply in particular? Definitely. There definitely is. Our capital tracking data shows, as you mentioned, that outflows from the Middle East are around maybe 50% to a maximum of 60% of what it was pre-war. The attacks we've seen throughout the war have been predominantly on downstream infrastructure, such as refineries. And the loss of supply that we're seeing from the Middle East in terms of crude is medium sour. What we need, really, is to make diesel, and the big story in the oil markets now is diesel. So we are still at a shortage in the market for refined products, notably diesel,  And we need essentially to have a conclusion to this war or a sustainable outcome to really help refined balance in the diesel and refined product markets. What about jet fuel, Naveen? There was a lot of worry about the situation for airlines in Europe in particular. How tight is the supply crunch there? Well, essentially, the middle distillates pool, which includes jet fuel, is the area in terms of refined products that is suffering with the most tightness. What is interesting to note is at the outset of the war, of course, jet fuel was taking all the headlines. Refiners were able to switch or toggle their yields slightly to maximize the output of jet fuel. That then had a knock-on effect on diesel, which is essentially the workhorse fuel for the global economy, where we are seeing tightness now. So once the jet fuel situation had eased up, refiners then tried to maximize diesel yields, and the knock-on on that was on gasoline. So essentially, jet fuel is in a slightly better place. Diesel, I would say, and gas oil is still the critical point, and it's had a knock-on effect on gasoline tightness as well. That was Naveen Das of Kpler. Don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com."},"published_time":"2026-10-06T10:51:52Z","updated_time":"2026-10-06T10:51:53Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ac4d209e4b0142a92dc0801","caption":"Oil flows from the Gulf reached more than 80% of their pre-war levels in September, easing pressure on oil prices globally. Naveen Das of Kpler, which compiles that shipping data, told Reuters high freight rates have encouraged shipowners back to the Gulf, but disruption is far from over. ","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ac4d209e4b0142a92dc0801"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789675/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW785606102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 06"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"oil, Strait of Hormuz, Iran"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: Growing oil flows 'have reduced Iran's leverage'"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW785606102026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only. . For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"Oil flows from the Gulf reached more than 80% of their pre-war levels in September, easing pressure on oil prices globally. Naveen Das of Kpler, which compiles that shipping data, told Reuters high freight rates have encouraged shipowners back to the Gulf, but disruption is far from over. "},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW785606102026RP1"},{"id":"RW750205102026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW750205102026RP1","title":"Market Talk: 'Lack of political will to rein in spending' sends cost of France's debt soaring","description":"The euro sank to a 17-month low after a jump in the cost of government borrowing, especially in France. Laura Cooper of Nuveen told Reuters markets are reflecting worries that none of the candidates in France's upcoming election are willing to rein in spending, but that the broader euro zone economy has proven remarkably resilient. ","duration":268.73,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"The euro sinks on worries about France's deteriorating finances. The euro has tumbled to a 17-month low against the dollar as bond sellers focused in on France. Sending the premium to hold French debt over safer German bonds above 150 basis points on Friday. That's raised worries of a broader spillover across European markets with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez adding to the political uncertainty on Monday morning by calling a snap election. Laura Cooper is head of macro credit at Nuveen. Laura, why have We seen the cost of borrowing for France in particular spike? I think what we're seeing is a lack of political will to rein in fiscal spending, and that has renewed investor concerns that  France in particular is on an unsustainable debt trajectory, and so they're demanding more premium to hold French government bonds. I think the key risk now though, is if we start to see increased spillover to the rest of the European bond market, Because that is starting to raise speculation that perhaps we could see another debt crisis materialize. That's not our base case at this stage. If anything, key factors that we will be watching for are foreign buyers of debt in particular. And whether we see them start to... outright sell, we're not quite at that stage yet. There are some uncomfortable memories being triggered here though of the euro crisis of 15 years ago. Are we seeing a broader darkening of the market mood on the eurozone? I think this is just reflective of the mix of political uncertainty across the region, These fiscal fears coming back into play, particularly at a dynamic when yields are at multi-year high. So that's going to further exacerbate debt servicing costs. But I think more broadly, we are actually still maintaining a constructive outlook for the European backdrop. If we think about some of the fiscal impulses that are coming through, some of the defence and infrastructure spending, that should support a recovery of the European story next year, When it's already been fairly resilient this year. I think the euro certainly trading at these multi-month lows is capturing a lot of that negative news, and I suspect we're going to see a bit more relief come through in the coming borders. Well, on the U.S. side, treasuries have been fairly steady since the jobs report on Friday, Which led investors to take a Fed hike this month essentially off the table. But is the market still pricing in more hikes than the U.S. economy can handle if the job market is that weak? Well, the interesting dynamic that we saw from the payrolls print last week was it just adds to this view that the labor market is steadying. There's not any signs of cracks emerging in the jobs market. And so we did see rate hike expectations being pared back alongside slightly less hawkish Fed commentary as well. I think we're currently aligned with market pricing, anticipating one more rate hike by the end of the year, Because there is still a risk that energy prices could feed into core inflation. But if we look to 2027, we don't think the U.S. economy can withstand a renewed tightening cycle. We think Fed funds rate are already near that neutral policy rate. So with a backdrop of more steady labor market with inflation eventually expected to resume that disinflationary trend, We think that sets up for the Fed to take on more of an extended pause next year. Do you expect those lowering expectations for Fed hikes to give the bond market some relief then after the Treasury sell-off we've seen? Well, we have started to see some relief come through in the bond market on the back of that softer-than-expected jobs print last week, As well as what we saw from the Fed's preferred inflation gauge of core PCE, also missing market expectations. So that has investors contemplating whether now is the time to extend duration, given where the 10-year yield certainly is currently trading. I think, though, we're leaning more towards range-bound trading because there are still risks on the horizon, whether that's geopolitical developments, resilience coming through in the economic data that could prompt renewed hawkish repricing. And ultimately, though, there are still these structural forces at play that are keeping a floor on yield. So perhaps nibbling in duration, but not having strong conviction given the uncertainty, certainly over the next couple of quarters. That was Laura Cooper of Nuveen. Don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com."},"published_time":"2026-10-05T11:32:53Z","updated_time":"2026-10-05T11:32:54Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ac38a13e4b0142a92dc04aa","caption":"The euro sank to a 17-month low after a jump in the cost of government borrowing, especially in France. Laura Cooper of Nuveen told Reuters markets are reflecting worries that none of the candidates in France's upcoming election are willing to rein in spending, but that the broader euro zone economy has proven remarkably resilient. ","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ac38a13e4b0142a92dc04aa"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789577/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW750205102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 05"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"bond yields, France, Federal Reserve"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: 'Lack of political will to rein in spending' sends cost of France's debt soaring"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW750205102026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only. . For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"The euro sank to a 17-month low after a jump in the cost of government borrowing, especially in France. Laura Cooper of Nuveen told Reuters markets are reflecting worries that none of the candidates in France's upcoming election are willing to rein in spending, but that the broader euro zone economy has proven remarkably resilient. "},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW750205102026RP1"},{"id":"RW702902102026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW702902102026RP1","title":"Market Talk: Is the bond selloff coming for the AI boom?","description":"Stock traders are debating when the bond selloff will finally hurt a resilient U.S. stock market, as small caps, banks and utilities are already feeling the pressure. Mikhail Zverev from Amati Global Investors told Reuters that rising yields could spell trouble for the AI trade, as the higher cost of money puts even more scrutiny on the returns from huge spending.","duration":301.16,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"'The bond market is throwing a tantrum, but when does Wall Street get caught in the crossfire? The 10-year Treasury yield has surged to levels not seen since 2002, Putting fresh pressure on a US stock market that so far proved remarkably resilient. But beneath the surface, the damage is already mounting. Small caps, banks and utilities, some of the most rate-sensitive corners of the markets, are taking a beating, even as the major indexes remain close to a record high. So, is Wall Street underestimating the fallout? Let's ask Mikhail Zverev, fund manager for Amati Global Investors. So, Mikhail, the S&P 500 eco-weighted index is heading for a seven straight week of losses. Is that the clearest warning yet that the weakness beneath the headline index is getting harder to ignore?' 'I think so. I mean, interest rates really matter. They matter in a number of places. You know, one of the obvious ones is industrial investment decisions. They are often sensitive to interest rates. You know, that's what make ROIs work or not under the decision making. And, you know, industrial capex is a big economic factor. It's actually important for us in our portfolio. We have significant exposure to industrial technology. And while what our companies do is very special and could be structurally advantaged, ultimately, they are also dependent on the appetite of industrial companies to invest. So, we're quite sensitive to that. The other obvious place to worry about is housing supply chain. Obviously, mortgage rates matter for housing decisions. And again, companies exposed to that will be feeling the heat.' 'Let's talk about the outlook for tech stocks and they suffered two downgrades last month amid lofty expectations and rising debt. So, could the bond sell-off finally start to hit the AI and tech trade as well?' 'It shouldn't help. I mean, interestingly enough, one of the reasons behind the increasing interest rates is postulated. I don't think it's proven that some of the bond markets are being crowded out by this enormous borrowing to fund AI data center build out. It is remarkable that we've been discussing that treasury markets can be crowded out by private sector borrowers. But, you know, the numbers are so material that it's not a trivial matter. Of course, the main debate around AI CapEx is what is the ROI on that CapEx? And again, like in our conversation about industrial CapEx, high interest rates do not help, especially if you finance that build out with debt. So, it is definitely an incremental headwind.' 'Let's talk about Oura. It's the latest company to delay its US IPO, citing uncertainty in the new issues markets. So, stocks are holding up so well. Why is the IPO market sounding the alarm?' 'I don't know much about Oura's decision. It is a private company. We don't have full detail. You know, we obviously had similar discussions around the big frontier labs. We don't know when Anthropic is coming to list, But OpenAI has talked about maybe navigating this difficult patch remaining as a private company. So, you know, this febrile atmosphere in the markets is not helping. We'll see if Oura comes back. One of our portfolio companies, Dexcom, which makes glucose monitoring, A wearable health sensor serving diabetics and health conscious consumers is partnering with Oura, so we wish them all the best.' 'But what about Anthropic? Will concerns about the risks of AI discourage investors for its IPO? Will it still command a $2 trillion valuation.' 'Hard to say. I mean, we are, I would describe it as, pragmatic optimists about AI. The emphasis is on pragmatic. We are not completely convinced that Frontier Labs modes are sustainable and defendable. A lot of really useful stuff that AI can do in the real world is not—it does not require, you know, A supercomputer that read Shakespeare and can write poetry on that level. You know, it's narrow industrial users, not narrow kind of office workflow users that can be done by smaller, cheaper models. We're seeing a lot of that. We're seeing IT services industry playing an important role in that. We're focusing on that. We're leaving the intellectual debate about the role of Frontier Labs kind of aside. We're not participating in that.' 'So finally, Mikhail, Meta's Muse AI agent has helped trigger a sell-off in financial stocks by threatening consumer inertia. So, is this the start of another software-driven shakeout, or could the sell-off create an opportunity?' 'It is a really interesting product. We've seen really compelling reviews. I would agree with the notion that business models that depend on inertia, and that includes switching from one bank account to another, includes spending air miles effectively, includes lots of other consumer-sort-of-stickiness business models. AI agents will make it easier to switch. So, we're conscious of that. We don't have anything in our portfolio that relies on consumer not noticing that it's being gently ripped off. And if Muse agent does it better for us, so much the better for us.' 'That was Mikhail Zverev from Amati Global Investors. Don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com'"},"published_time":"2026-10-02T11:00:19Z","updated_time":"2026-10-02T11:02:41Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abf8dd7e4b0142a92dbff41-1790938960648","caption":"Stock traders are debating when the bond selloff will finally hurt a resilient U.S. stock market, as small caps, banks and utilities are already feeling the pressure. Mikhail Zverev from Amati Global Investors told Reuters that rising yields could spell trouble for the AI trade, as the higher cost of money puts even more scrutiny on the returns from huge spending.","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abf8dd7e4b0142a92dbff41-1790938960648"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789414/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW702902102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 02"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"Meta, IPO, Muse, Anthropic, Treasuries, Oura, Yields, Bonds, Software, Ai"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: Is the bond selloff coming for the AI boom?"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW702902102026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only. . For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"Stock traders are debating when the bond selloff will finally hurt a resilient U.S. stock market, as small caps, banks and utilities are already feeling the pressure. Mikhail Zverev from Amati Global Investors told Reuters that rising yields could spell trouble for the AI trade, as the higher cost of money puts even more scrutiny on the returns from huge spending."},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW702902102026RP1"},{"id":"RW674101102026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW674101102026RP1","title":"Market Talk: 'If you sell the dollar, what else are you going to buy?'","description":"The dollar just wrapped up its best month since March, buoyed by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the Fed’s renewed fight against inflation. But Jane Foley from Rabobank told Reuters it’s also a story of what’s happening elsewhere - with so many forces weighing on other major currencies, the dollar should stay firm 'almost by default'. ","duration":267.03,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"The dollar has been on a serious winning streak, but can it keep the run going? The dollar just had its best month since March With the Fed's renewed focus on inflation pushing read expectations and US bond yields higher. Every major G10 currency except the yen lost ground against the greenback in September. But as we head into the fourth quarter, is the dollar beginning to look stretched? Well, let's ask Jane Foley, head of FX Strategy at Rabobank. So Jane, let's start with the softer than expected PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. It saw traders scale back bets on an October hike yesterday. So why didn't that take the wind out of the dollar? Well, interestingly, it does really suggest that there is more to it than just a rate story with respect to the dollar. Now, I do think that over the summer, it was that turnaround in Fed expectations for policy that did drive the dollar. Don't forget that at the start of the Iran war, well, the market was positioned for further Fed interest rate cuts. And here we are now in this tightening cycle. So certainly that was a significant driver of the dollar. But I do think there's a little bit more to it than that. I mean, for instance, if you look at the euro, the market was very long positioned of the euro at the start of the war. And now, despite a hawkish ECB and despite expectations, the ECB can also hike again this year. Well, the euro is not really finding much support from that. It's traded in a very lacklustre fashion. And that, I think, is related to its position as an energy importer. So from that point of view, the question has to be asked. Well, look, if you sell the dollar, what do you want to buy? And right now, it's not that easy to answer that question. Well, tension now turns to Friday's jobs report, with hiring expected to remain solid for a second month. So would another strong number be enough to put an October hike back on the table? Well, we think probably not. I mean, certainly it could certainly bring back the speculation of such an impact. But looking at that core PCE inflation, I think that is probably going to be more dominant. So probably by the end of the year, the Fed can certainly hike again. But I think right. Now, we don't have that urgency. And that, of course, has been mentioned by at least one of the Fed speakers this week. So yes, that Fed data is going to be very pivotal. But I think on the back of that softer core PCE, I think they're probably safe to assume that the Fed can allow. October to pass without an interest rate change. Jane we've touched on it but widening rate differentials and resilient US growth are forcing some dollar bears to rethink their positions. So we see options markets pointing to further gains but do you see the dollar staying strong into year end? I think the dollar can remain pretty firm into year-end. Again, we come back to this question, well, what else do you really want to buy? And if we look, for instance, at the yen, well, the yen certainly had a flurry last month, particularly the start of September. But since then, the market is still a little bit anxious that the Bank of Japan won't be able to keep pace with the Fed in terms of rate rises. Well, we've talked about the euro, too, that it's got a significant growth risk by way of the fact that it's an energy importer. And you look at sterling world, there's a budget coming up. So there's so many different factors undermining the other currencies that I think the dollar almost by default is going to remain pretty firm. Jane, let's finish with Sterling and in the UK new Prime Minister Andy Burnham surprised with a path to re-engage with the EU, even raising the prospect of a  rejoining. So would even a whiff of return be enough to give Stirling a boost? Well, perhaps not yet, but I think that will happen if this conversation does gain ground. I mean, if we consider euro-sterling, well, the Euro has remained strong since that Brexit referendum in 2016 against sterling. Sterling's never been able to get back to those levels that it held ahead of that referendum in June 2016. So certainly, if we did have more of A push to close the ties with Europe, well, the trade flows alone would give sterling an advantage. But right now, we don't know if we're going to be talking about a customs union, return to the single market or full out EU membership. And we certainly don't know how Europe would react to that, never mind UK voters. So for now, I think sterling will perhaps bide its time. But in the future, when we get more concrete plans, yes, that is certainly a sterling positive factor. That was Jane Foley from Rabobank. Don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com"},"published_time":"2026-10-01T10:39:59Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T10:40:01Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abe3775e4b0142a92dbfc21","caption":"The dollar just wrapped up its best month since March, buoyed by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the Fed’s renewed fight against inflation. But Jane Foley from Rabobank told Reuters it’s also a story of what’s happening elsewhere - with so many forces weighing on other major currencies, the dollar should stay firm 'almost by default'. ","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abe3775e4b0142a92dbfc21"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789325/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW674101102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 01"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"Brexit, Nonfarm, Sterling, Inflation, Trump, Yen, Warsh, Jobs, Burnham, ECB, Interest Rates, Dollar, Euro, BOJ, Fed"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: 'If you sell the dollar, what else are you going to buy?'"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW674101102026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only. . For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"The dollar just wrapped up its best month since March, buoyed by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the Fed’s renewed fight against inflation. But Jane Foley from Rabobank told Reuters it’s also a story of what’s happening elsewhere - with so many forces weighing on other major currencies, the dollar should stay firm 'almost by default'. "},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW674101102026RP1"},{"id":"RW645730092026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW645730092026RP1","title":"Market Talk: Stocks should brace for 'elevated volatility'","description":"AI worries, a tightening Fed, looming U.S. midterms and war in the Middle East are piling pressure on investors as they ask whether equities can keep shrugging off the risks in the fourth quarter. Harry Eastwood from Artemis Investment Management told Reuters that a bumpy road may be ahead, but traders shouldn’t overlook an increasingly attractive earnings-growth picture.","duration":350.46,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"It's been a cruel quarter for bonds, but an awkward one for stocks. Another red flag for the bond markets Long-dated US Treasury yields have climbed to their highest levels since 2002. It's the latest milestone in a deepening sell-off across global debt markets. But so far, stocks are barely blinking. Investors continue to pin their hopes on all things AI. But how long can that disconnect last? Well, it's asked Harry Eastwood, Investment Director at Artemis Investment Management. So, Harry, the 30-year Treasury yield could hit 6%, with some analysts arguing the sell-off still isn't pricing in the prospect of a sustained productivity boom. So is this just the beginning? How much further could yields go? Look, I think it's the question that, you know, all of markets are trying to grapple with at the moment. You know, as you look at it today, I think, you know, really, from an economic standpoint, you're in somewhat of an inflationary boom. So, you know, GDP growth is robust. You know, there are inflationary pressures obviously coming from energy. I think, interestingly, with inflation, when you kind of strip out energy and food, actually, you know, inflation looks to be, you know, contained. So, you know, it's a difficult question. I think it's very difficult for central banks. You know, they'll be looking at the various data points trying to decide whether they want to kind of more aggressively raise rates or maybe pause. Well, Harry, you mentioned the robust GDP readings, But U.S. consumer confidence fell in September to the lowest level since 2014. So is the remarkably resilient U.S. economy finally starting to crack? So on the one side, you have, you know, those upper echelons of kind of U.S. society who have done enormously well through the wealth effects, have done enormously well through exposure to AI. And then, you know, you have the remainder who are dealing with, you know, mortgage rates that are going past 7%. They're dealing with diesel that's approaching $7. And, you know, you can just look at the kind of reliance, you know, of manufacturing of kind of industry of the lower end consumer on diesel, and it's quite high. So, you know, that part of part of consumer is facing a difficult time. And so, you know, despite the fact you get these good GDP figures, despite the fact that, you know, jobs growth is all right. It's not amazing, but it's all right. You know, they're definitely starting to feel the pain. For more data to piece through, US job openings have fallen to a five-month low, suggesting that employers are becoming more cautious about hiring. So will we see that caution feed through to Friday's NFP print? You know, when you look at the figures, it doesn't necessarily point to a kind of awfully negative situation. It doesn't necessarily point to an awfully strong situation. I think if you've got a weak number, you know, maybe that will give, you know, the Fed a bit of kind of wiggle Room in terms of where rates go, at least in the short term. I think, you know, where, you know, They might pay more attention to is, you know, corporate earnings growth is incredibly strong. You know does that mean that CFOs you know perhaps give a bit more budget uh to hire new staff so you know if that is the case then you know maybe there will be a tightening of the labor market maybe you do get some wage inflation and coming back to that rate rates point maybe then that does Cause um you know uh the fed to raise rates at a more meaningful level so i think with all these kind of situations we're seeing at the moment there's kind of arguments on both sides there's things to be kind of cautious of but there's things to be optimistic about really you know That's what you're reading in research at the moment that you know there are very good arguments on either side but you know for me i think i think the risks are certainly growing Let's turn to stocks now and Aura has become the latest company to delay a US IPO, pointing to uncertainty in the new issues market. But the stock market is holding up, so why is the IPO market sounding a note of caution? You know, on the kind of concern side, you've got, you know, rates volatility is picking up. People are maybe a bit more cautious on these certainly longer duration equities. And then you've just got kind of market technicals. So you've obviously got SpaceX that had its IPO. But if you look at kind of the lockup windows, they're starting to kind of, you know, be released. So there's a lot of issuance coming into the market. You've got Anthropic as well coming later in the year. So, you know, maybe it's sensible for them just to maybe take a step back, you know, maybe wait a bit of time until the market technicals are a bit more in their favor. But, you know, there's there is a question in terms of, OK, you may wait, but, you know, in one environment, maybe in a year's time, is that going to be, you know, it's hard to say. So finally, Harry, historically, what happens next with stocks has been a mixed bag. Particularly in periods of major market stress. So could Wall Street be heading for a bumpy finish to the end of the year? I think the likelihood is the volatility is going to be elevated into the air. I think, you know, rates are definitely an input into that volatility. But, you know, you can't discount the kind of earnings trajectory that certainly the US market and you look at, you know, the likes of emerging markets as well. So, you know, my hunch is do you want to stand in the way of that? Probably not. And I think, you know, you're looking at the S&P valuations at the moment. You know they've come down off their peaks over the past year so in part that's a reflection of you know a more uncertain environment um but you've still got this kind of really attractive earnings growth picture so um it's a slightly non-commercial answer i think uh maybe a bit of insurance policy in terms of your asset allocation, but, um, you know, earnings, uh, sort of the winners at the moment. That was Harry Eastwood from Artemis Investment Management. Don't forget, you can watch more videos on Reuters.com."},"published_time":"2026-09-30T10:59:11Z","updated_time":"2026-09-30T10:59:12Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abcea8ee4b00e902ff5c85e","caption":"AI worries, a tightening Fed, looming U.S. midterms and war in the Middle East are piling pressure on investors as they ask whether equities can keep shrugging off the risks in the fourth quarter. Harry Eastwood from Artemis Investment Management told Reuters that a bumpy road may be ahead, but traders shouldn’t overlook an increasingly attractive earnings-growth picture.","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abcea8ee4b00e902ff5c85e"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789218/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW645730092026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, SEP 30"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"Economy, Nonfarm, IPO, Consumers, Jobs, Treasuries, Interest Rates, Yields, Williams, Bonds, Fed"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: Stocks should brace for 'elevated volatility'"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW645730092026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only.. For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"AI worries, a tightening Fed, looming U.S. midterms and war in the Middle East are piling pressure on investors as they ask whether equities can keep shrugging off the risks in the fourth quarter. Harry Eastwood from Artemis Investment Management told Reuters that a bumpy road may be ahead, but traders shouldn’t overlook an increasingly attractive earnings-growth picture."},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW645730092026RP1"},{"id":"RW618729092026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW618729092026RP1","title":"Market Talk: 'Bond markets have overshot'","description":"The cost of borrowing continues to push higher, as markets price in four more hikes in this cycle from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Rory McPherson of Magnus Fund Management told Reuters he thinks markets have got carried away, as U.S. mortgage rates over 7% are already weighing on the consumer. ","duration":328.6,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"Soaring bond yields and oil prices are testing global equity markets. September has seen the cost of government borrowing spiral across the developed world. The yield on the US 10-year has seen its biggest monthly jump since 2022 and is hovering near a 19-year high of 5.27%. Higher oil prices have driven investors to reprice inflation and interest rate expectations, While government bonds are also competing with massive bond issuance from AI companies. Rory McPherson is Chief Investment Officer at Magnus. Rory, a higher cost of borrowing piles pressure, of course, on governments, But also corporate and household budgets.  When will this start to weigh on the resilience of the US economy? The US economy remains remarkably resilient. So if we look at recent measures of GDP forecasts, We've got them clocking at around 5% for the third quarter, so extremely strong. I suppose the question for consumers and equity markets is when do bond yields start to become a problem? And for that, we'd look to the reaction function from the Federal Reserve,  And if they push through on what the market is expecting in terms of much higher bond yields. So the message we got from Kevin Warsh last week and the dot plot is that it's more of a gradual increase in interest rates. The bond market at the moment is pricing a pretty aggressive increase in interest rates, which, of course, puts pressure on the consumer. What do you think, though? Can the Fed push rates as high as the market is pricing without triggering a crash? I think they've got a very difficult balance to tread. They've got to get the credibility of the market and the confidence of the market,  That they're independent and they're reacting to higher inflation, which remains persistently above target. I'd note that most of the rise that we've seen in bond yields has been driven by rises in the oil price as opposed to inflation expectations. So inflation expectations have actually stayed relatively calm, which is good news for investors. Growth expectations are picked up which is good news for investors.   The worry, the risk in markets is that the longer the higher oil price persists and the uncertainty around that those inflation expectations,   Which being very well behaved start to move up in line with where bond yields are and that would put pressure on the Fed to start hiking more aggressively.  We don't get much out of Kevin Warsh but the message that we've got is one of gradual rate increases,  Which I think will be taken well by the consumers and the equity markets. As the bonds look more attractive, though, of course they come into competition with equities. When are you expecting this to hit the equity market? The equity market has digested the movement in bond yields really well. And it's interesting because you've got two different forces pulling the equity market at the moment. And since kind of mid-August, when we had the big ramp-up in bond yields, We've had the leadership move over from almost everything else in the equity market back to the technology sector and the MAG7. So it really comes down to an earnings story for us. And I suppose we are starting to see those MAG7 stocks. So Meta would be an example last week. Stocks that are not trading on expensive valuations now, kind of mid-20s, Ford PE levels, and Nvidia are the Ford PE in the teens. They need to start monetizing their AI investments. We're starting to see that come through. That helps the equity market. And also, it's the rest of the market to benefit from AI and keep on the earnings trajectory that we've seen. So we just had a blockbuster earning season in the second quarter. Third quarter expectations are quite high.  And, you know, expected earnings growth is about 30% for the US. So that's really going to be the test for the market is can we get that earnings delivery? We think we will get that earnings delivery as we look into next year. And I suppose, we'd look at the market now and think US market on 19 times forward earnings is actually 10% cheaper than it was since last year. So we don't see it on extreme valuation. So if we can get those earnings coming through, that I think can be a path through higher bond yields. But I guess I'd come back to.  Staying with AI for a moment, Rory, Anthropic has unveiled its IPO, warning of existential risks to humanity,  But also plans to spend $518 billion on cloud and computing costs in the coming years. What does that sound like to investors? Would you buy in? We won't be participating in the IPO, but more money on compute is more money into the AI trade. And that's been one of the things that's picked up the market, if you like, over the course of the last six weeks has been that pivot back to AI and tech,  As you've had the more interest rate sensitive parts of the market struggle. So there's a lot to like about the stock market at the moment because you've got this continued investment in compute, in AI which benefits,  What is a really chunky part of the stock market, 40% of most markets but equally you've got everything else we think trading on undemanding valuations,  And which if we get a bit of a pause in some of this bond year-old action can start delivering like it has done for the course of this year. That was Rory McPherson of Magnus, don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com"},"published_time":"2026-09-29T10:55:11Z","updated_time":"2026-09-29T12:27:32Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abb97ffe4b0326f6505b086-1790684596604","caption":"The cost of borrowing continues to push higher, as markets price in four more hikes in this cycle from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Rory McPherson of Magnus Fund Management told Reuters he thinks markets have got carried away, as U.S. mortgage rates over 7% are already weighing on the consumer. ","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abb97ffe4b0326f6505b086-1790684596604"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789108/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW618729092026RP1:7"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, SEP 29"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"Federal Reserve, bonds, inflation"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: 'Bond markets have overshot'"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW618729092026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only. . For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"The cost of borrowing continues to push higher, as markets price in four more hikes in this cycle from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Rory McPherson of Magnus Fund Management told Reuters he thinks markets have got carried away, as U.S. mortgage rates over 7% are already weighing on the consumer. "},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW618729092026RP1"},{"id":"RW588028092026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW588028092026RP1","title":"Market Talk: Stocks face a 'mountain to climb' into year-end","description":"The third quarter is drawing to a close, and despite investors juggling the Iran war and fiscal worries, stocks remain just shy of record highs. But Kathleen Brooks from XTB told Reuters that markets are starting to show signs of strain, with a potentially volatile fourth quarter ahead, with an aggressive Fed hiking cycle and the U.S. midterms adding to the uncertainty.","duration":381.8,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"The end is nigh. The year is entering its final act and looks set to go out with a bang. The final leg of the year kicks off Thursday and after a bruising Q3, Q4 could be pivotal. The backdrop is hardly reassuring. Bond markets are rattled by the Iran war, Fiscal worries and a wall of AI debt, pushing global borrowing costs to their highest level since the financial crisis. So as we head into the home straight, how should traders brace themselves? Well, Kathleen Brooks is research director at XTB.  So Kathleen, all these worries are weighing on traders but you wouldn't know it if you looked at the stock markets. The major indexes are less than 2% off their all-time highs at more than 12% this year so can that resilience last? I think it's really being tested And I think an aggressive Fed rate hiking cycle through to the end of the year and into the first quarter of next year,  Along with obviously those rising bond yields that you mentioned, surging on very elevated energy prices as well. They're all testing the resilience of the stock market.  And actually, September is traditionally quite a volatile month for stocks, but so is October. So I think the start of Q4 could be quite volatile, especially as we lead up to some key events like midterms,  And we actually find out whether or not the Fed will hike interest rates yet again. Let's talk about the Middle East, and President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. As well, a peace deal looks a long way off.  So as another week of talks begin, can traders afford to tune out the geopolitical noise? I don't think they can, really.  But I think what they've now done is put in place a pretty large war premium on things like the oil price. And obviously, we can see it in a lot of refined products as well, with UK diesel prices reaching a record high. But what's interesting about the oil price is that it's still really, really elevated. Yet we are seeing more and more oil pass through the Strait of Hormuz. So about 14 million barrels a day on average. Saudi Arabia has the highest number of oil exports since the war began. The East-West pipeline is also back on board. So it's this 'war premium' that investors are saying, Look, we don't know when this is going to end. We're not trusting the diplomatic rhetoric that's coming from either side. So instead, what they do is they just put on a big premium on top. And I think that's going to stick around until we see an actual end in sight to this war. But it doesn't look like it's any time soon, to be honest. Kathleen, as you mentioned, one of the big events in Q4 is undoubtedly the US midterms. So some expect the volatility to build around the vote, while others see little lasting market impact. How much do you think markets should care about the upcoming results? I think it will really all depend on, well, the outcome, really, of the results. There's expected to be a real blue wave, so Republicans getting taken out, Democrats coming in. If that leads to fears about a massive increase in government spending in the US, when the debt is already at $40 trillion,  We're already seeing elevated bond yields in the US, I think that's when we could see volatility start to shift into the equity market as well. Although there is a good argument to say that actually when government debt you know it's government debt that where the problem is now,  Because it's the government that's got the spending problem not necessarily the corporate side of things that actually maybe you want to be in equities,   Because they look better than the government, what the government is doing.  But I think when it comes to kind of more fiscal spending, the threat of maybe tax rises if we were to see a Democratic president in a few years' time,  I think that's when you'll start to see the stock market really wobble into year end,  And certainly, October does tend to be quite a volatile month November and December you tend to see things on a seasonal basis pick up a little bit.  But I think this year it looks like there's a mountain to climb because we we've held so much so many gains,  But of course overall it's all to do with AI. So on the midterms are really important, AI is so important to the US economy right now,  It's over 50% of the S&P 500 that we'll have to it will be a real test to see if that's also resilient to political concerns as we move through the year. Well, some big data points due up this week for US jobs numbers and inflation could offer clues on when the Fed might hike again. So, what would it take to put an October hike back firmly on the table? And do you think that'll happen? I don't think it would take much, actually. We've seen more Fed speakers sounding like they're very happy with an October and a December rate hike in recent days. So I think if you get a number around about 100, maybe over 100,000 for payrolls, that will probably secure another rate hike in October. And equally, I think we've also got the PCE data that's going to be really important for August. But I think investors will essentially look through that because it's kind of old now.  Because we know what's happened in September where we're expecting inflation to rise even more. So I think it's all going to be about the payrolls. However, if we were to get a softer surprise, I think that could take it down to a more even chance for the October payrolls. And actually just for the October Federal Reserve meeting and actually maybe just increase the volatilities will lead up to that meeting. Because I think it would really leave it very open, but still a very live meeting for the Federal Reserve to hike roads. Kathleen, let's finish on AI and Micron earnings on Wednesday will be the next big test for an AI trade. It's already showing signs of fatigue.  So are we now stuck in a cycle of AI whiplash, Euphoria one week, panic the next.  It seems like it for sure, Peter.  Yes. What we essentially have is we have money piling in one minute and then going out the next. This is a narrative based market. So when the narrative changes, that's an issue. Micron is obviously worth watching. It's guided revenue for $50 billion, but its gross margin at 86%. I mean, it doesn't really get much better than that. It's also seen a 266% increase in its share price this year so far. So I think it's priced to perfection. So, any signs of weakness any dip in the gross margin because we know that memory prices are surging as well,  That could just spook investors a little bit for that semiconductor trade,  Which has obviously had a wobble earlier in the month as well with fears of an AI development slowdown.  So, I think there's a lot resting on it certainly in the short term for where the AI trade goes next but obviously as we move into Q4 the middle of October,  That's when we're going to see kind of the bigger players in that semiconductor space and they'll take over for Micron,  But in the short term, I think Micron's results will determine the narrative. That was Kathleen Brooks from XTB. Don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com."},"published_time":"2026-09-28T11:12:54Z","updated_time":"2026-09-28T11:12:55Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6aba4aade4b0f50f5c3a3ed7","caption":"The third quarter is drawing to a close, and despite investors juggling the Iran war and fiscal worries, stocks remain just shy of record highs. But Kathleen Brooks from XTB told Reuters that markets are starting to show signs of strain, with a potentially volatile fourth quarter ahead, with an aggressive Fed hiking cycle and the U.S. midterms adding to the uncertainty.","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6aba4aade4b0f50f5c3a3ed7"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/788999/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW588028092026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, SEP 28"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. Full statement available at https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/policies/copyright.html"},{"key":"package-mood","value":"Neutral"},{"key":"package-notes","value":"Nonfarm, Iran, Micron, Inflation, Strait, Trump, Hormuz, FOMC, Treasuries, Midterms, PCE, Yields, Payrolls, Bonds, Fed, AI"},{"key":"package-format","value":"Other"},{"key":"publisher-name","value":"reuters.com"},{"key":"upstream-title","value":"Market Talk: Stocks face a 'mountain to climb' into year-end"},{"key":"external-asset-id","value":"285_RW588028092026RP1"},{"key":"package-no-social","value":"Yes"},{"key":"package-restrictions","value":"For Reuters platforms only. . For Reuters customers only."},{"key":"upstream-description","value":"The third quarter is drawing to a close, and despite investors juggling the Iran war and fiscal worries, stocks remain just shy of record highs. But Kathleen Brooks from XTB told Reuters that markets are starting to show signs of strain, with a potentially volatile fourth quarter ahead, with an aggressive Fed hiking cycle and the U.S. midterms adding to the uncertainty."},{"key":"upstream-channel-code","value":"vty454"}],"usn":"RW588028092026RP1"},{"id":"RW536825092026RP1","type":"video","subtype":"application/x-mpegURL","external_id":"RW536825092026RP1","title":"Market Talk: UK budget 'needs to be funded and credible'","description":"A global bond selloff has sent the UK government's cost of borrowing higher this week, increasing pressure on finance minister John Healey ahead of a crucial Budget on October 28th. Sam Kemp of Connection Capital told Reuters bond markets are looking for certainty - and for Healey to build more headroom to guard against possible future shocks. ","duration":288.76,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"A global rise in borrowing costs cuts down the UK government's headroom ahead of a crucial budget. A global bond sell-off has gathered pace this week, pushing the yield on the US 10-year to over 5.2% and 10-year gilts to over 5.3%. The move comes at a particularly tricky moment for the UK as higher interest payments cut into the headroom Chancellor John Healy has against  the government's crucial fiscal rule that the current budget, excluding investment, be brought into surplus by the end of this parliament. Well, Sam Kemp of Connection Capital Sam, the factors driving this bond sell-off are global, but is the UK in an especially tight spot? 'Yes, I think it is' 'I think in previous governments, previous scenarios, the headroom has been reduced and has been discussed as sort of trying to widen.' 'I think, in reality, the Healy's sort of sitting there with an even tighter tightrope to walk along.' 'And yeah, independent estimates are kind of sitting there.' 'Thinking that the headroom is now down to somewhere between five and ten billion, which in the scheme of what we're talking about here really' 'is really is kind of razor razor thin' If he's not able to increase that R for the budget, then how might the bond market react? 'Well, I think we're already starting to see across global sort of bond markets, this belief and benefits of a strong story being there.' 'I think that sort of expectation for the bond market to give people benefit, the doubt is really reducing.' 'And therefore, I do think he's under a lot of pressure to be able to present a credible plan.' 'And that credible plan, I think for me, needs to be long term in its nature rather than sort of trying to do any short term fixes, which which feels like the'  'position we've been in for a little while.' Yesterday, the OECD said the UK economic outlook had brightened. Is there evidence of that? 'Yes, I mean, I think in that example, I think we've got to make sure we're not we're not fooling ourselves really with with whether this is resilience and' 'and a little bit of upside versus certainly not thriving economy.' 'We're still talking about levels that are at or around 1% and for me that's kind of not a growing economy.' 'It's positive, it's good to see some resilience but certainly it doesn't signal to me a growing economy which is what we are seeking to find.' 'Where might that growth come from then? What would investors like to see from the budget?' 'I think investors really want to see confidence in their ability to make decisions.' 'So when you are investing in cycles, you need to understand what the cycle is going to look like or what the environment and tax landscape' 'and growth landscape is going to look like in the future.' 'And I think that confidence is really important and somewhat lacking at the moment.' 'So I'm hopeful of a more ambitious plan in terms of foresight for where the UK market is going to be investing, where it's going to be growing.' 'And that's the kind of main things for me where I think this government could potentially benefit the investors in the UK.' 'If I look at our investors, that certainty is the is the main thing you hear.' 'The willingness to invest in their businesses is certainly predicated by understanding what the tax regime is going to look like in the future.' 'And right now, that really is at a low point in terms of confidence.' But what would a more ambitious plan look like in terms of measures, concretely? 'When I say ambitious, I think it's more setting out a plan that that's credible and believable over long term.' 'And certainly the bond market wants to see that that is actually funded and credible and makes sense.' 'So I don't necessarily think there needs to be huge, huge ambition with specific new policies.' 'I just think we need to understand what the world will look like, what the UK will look like for a sustained period of time.' 'People can make investments around that' 'Specific comments around things like capital gains just adds to that nervousness about making investments in the UK.' 'Our investors are essentially private investors looking to invest in the UK to support founder-led businesses.' 'The UK Is particularly good at driving founder-led businesses in the ecosystem.' 'People are there They're ready and willing to invest, but they need to know that the rules of the game won't be changing immediately in order to  make those investments.' Now with Sam Kemp of Connection Capital, don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com."},"published_time":"2026-09-25T11:29:41Z","updated_time":"2026-09-25T11:29:43Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ab65a31e4b07fa3330d6550","caption":"A global bond selloff has sent the UK government's cost of borrowing higher this week, increasing pressure on finance minister John Healey ahead of a crucial Budget on October 28th. Sam Kemp of Connection Capital told Reuters bond markets are looking for certainty - and for Healey to build more headroom to guard against possible future shocks. ","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6ab65a31e4b07fa3330d6550"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/788822/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]},{"id":"market-talk","name":"Market Talk","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW536825092026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"London, UK"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, SEP 25"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. 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