Events
Each event gathers the primary records around one story, checks the coverage against them, and tells you what actually happened.
- StandingThe federal funds rateHold running since December 2025; the latest record is July 2026.
- 2026-08-07The job market goes into reverse: payrolls fall by 23,000Forecasters expected a gain of 83,000. Instead the economy lost jobs, the two prior months were revised down by a combined 103,000, and the unemployment rate fell for the wrong reason: fewer people working or looking.
- 2026-07-29The quiet hold breaks: three officials vote to raise ratesThe statement changed by one verb. The vote changed everything: a 9–3 hold, with three regional presidents formally asking for a hike, the first time since 2016 that three dissenters pulled in the same direction.
- 2026-06-17Warsh's first unanimous vote, with half the committee penciling in a hikeThe June 17 decision looked like calm: a 12–0 hold, a four-paragraph statement. The projections underneath flipped from a cut to a hike, and six weeks later the dissents arrived.