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U.S. job growth expected to slow in September
Reuters · 2026-10-02
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class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Legal</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/government/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Government</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/legalindustry/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Legal Industry</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/litigation/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Litigation</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/transactional/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Transactional</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/legal/us-supreme-court/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">US Supreme Court</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/commentary/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Commentary</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/commentary/breakingviews/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Breakingviews</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/commentary/reuters-open-interest/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">ROI: Reuters Open Interest</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Technology</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/artificial-intelligence/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Artificial Intelligence</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/cybersecurity/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Cybersecurity</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/space/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Space</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/technology/disrupted/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Disrupted</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/investigations/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Investigations</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Sports</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/world-cup/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">World Cup</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/athletics/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Athletics</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/baseball/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Baseball</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/basketball/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Basketball</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/cricket/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Cricket</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/cycling/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Cycling</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/formula1/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Formula 1</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/golf/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Golf</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/nfl/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">NFL</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/nhl/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">NHL</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/soccer/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Soccer</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/sports/tennis/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Tennis</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/science/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Science</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/lifestyle/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Lifestyle</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/lifestyle/culture-current/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Culture Current</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/city-memo/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">City Memo</a></h2></section></div><div class="nav-dropdown-module__group-container__B7ZaS"><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/graphics/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Graphics</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/chart-of-the-week/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Chart of the Week</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/pictures/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Pictures</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/wider-image/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Wider Image</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/podcasts/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Podcasts</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/podcasts/reuters-world-news/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Reuters World News</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/podcasts/reuters-morning-bid/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Reuters Morning Bid</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/podcasts/reuters-econ-world/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Reuters Econ World</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/podcasts/on-assignment/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">On Assignment</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/podcasts/viewsroom/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Viewsroom</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/podcasts/the-big-view/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">The Big View</a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/live/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Live</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/fact-check/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Fact Check</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/video/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Video</a></h2></section><section data-testid="MoreDropdown" class="nav-dropdown-module__more-section-group__6-L2e nav-dropdown-module__has-children__Wpz3R"><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS"><a data-testid="Body" href="/media-center/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__graphite__fZRmg text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__body__9d61E body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__body_alt__0ewNU nav-dropdown-module__section-link__Mvj6r">Media Center</a></h2><ul class="nav-dropdown-module__subsections__ElxDL"><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/media-center/announcements/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Announcements</a></li><li><a data-testid="Body" href="/media-center/awards/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__medium-grey__yZtlg text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf nav-dropdown-module__subsection-link__T9-bB">Awards</a></li><li><a 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headline-module__headline__L8lWb">US job growth expected to slow in September; unemployment rate likely steady</h1><div data-testid="InfoContent" class="info-content-module__info__FR-5y default-article-header-module__info-content__EOcyE"><div data-testid="AuthorName" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__tag_label__4kwMu"><span data-testid="Text" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__tag_label__4kwMu">By </span><a data-testid="AuthorNameLink" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/authors/lucia-mutikani/" rel="author" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__tag_label__4kwMu link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC author-name-module__author__09Ri8">Lucia Mutikani</a></div><time data-testid="DateLine" datetime="2026-10-02T09:53:30.956Z" 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style="--aspect-ratio:1.4998712335822817"><img data-testid="EagerImage" src="https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/CX6IWAOHOROXHEXUW3KOZFMON4.jpg?auth=212fbfb2cab878d8eae6a5c2f5df037f4f23e0c133459f402b5fc05a4466f4ae&width=1920&quality=80" srcset="https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/CX6IWAOHOROXHEXUW3KOZFMON4.jpg?auth=212fbfb2cab878d8eae6a5c2f5df037f4f23e0c133459f402b5fc05a4466f4ae&width=480&quality=80 480w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/CX6IWAOHOROXHEXUW3KOZFMON4.jpg?auth=212fbfb2cab878d8eae6a5c2f5df037f4f23e0c133459f402b5fc05a4466f4ae&width=640&quality=80 640w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/CX6IWAOHOROXHEXUW3KOZFMON4.jpg?auth=212fbfb2cab878d8eae6a5c2f5df037f4f23e0c133459f402b5fc05a4466f4ae&width=720&quality=80 720w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/CX6IWAOHOROXHEXUW3KOZFMON4.jpg?auth=212fbfb2cab878d8eae6a5c2f5df037f4f23e0c133459f402b5fc05a4466f4ae&width=960&quality=80 960w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/CX6IWAOHOROXHEXUW3KOZFMON4.jpg?auth=212fbfb2cab878d8eae6a5c2f5df037f4f23e0c133459f402b5fc05a4466f4ae&width=1080&quality=80 1080w,https://www.reuters.com/resizer/v2/CX6IWAOHOROXHEXUW3KOZFMON4.jpg?auth=212fbfb2cab878d8eae6a5c2f5df037f4f23e0c133459f402b5fc05a4466f4ae&width=1200&quality=80 1200w" sizes="(min-width: 1024px) 560px, (min-width: 1440px) 700px, 100vw" width="5824" height="3883" alt="A sign advertising job openings is seen outside of a Starbucks in Manhattan, New York City, New York"></div></div><div data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__ultra_small__6-vhY body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__ultra_small_body__WelUC primary-image-module__caption__BFvVU"><span>A sign advertising job openings is seen outside of a Starbucks in Manhattan, New York City, New York, U.S., May 26, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly <a data-testid="Link" target="_blank" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reutersconnect.com/item/a-sign-advertising-job-openings-is-seen-outside-of-a-starbucks-in-manhattan-new-york-city-new-york/dGFnOnJldXRlcnMuY29tLDIwMjE6bmV3c21sX1JDMlNOTjkzODY4Vg%3D%3D/?utm_medium=rcom-article-media&utm_campaign=rcom-rcp-lead" rel="noopener" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC link-module__with-icon__qlg76 collapsible-caption-module__license__CPQvV">Purchase Licensing<span><span class="link-module__suffix__ObiNY"> Rights</span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 32 32" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" data-testid="NewTabSymbol" class="link-module__new-tab-symbol__d53s7 link-module__move-left__CCZH6 collapsible-caption-module__symbol__943UJ" fill="#666" width="0" height="0"><path fill="currentColor" d="M15 6c.6 0 1 .4 1 1s-.4 1-1 1H9c-.6 0-1 .4-1 1v14a1.1 1.1 0 0 0 .2.6c.1.2.4.4.8.4h14c.6 0 1-.4 1-1v-6c0-.6.4-1 1-1s1 .4 1 1v6a3 3 0 0 1-3 3H9a3 3 0 0 1-2.2-.9A3 3 0 0 1 6 23V9a3 3 0 0 1 3-3Zm10 0 .4.1.5.5.1.4v6c0 .6-.4 1-1 1s-1-.4-1-1V9.4l-5.3 5.3a1 1 0 0 1-.7.3 1 1 0 0 1-.7-.3 1 1 0 0 1 0-1.4L22.6 8H19c-.6 0-1-.4-1-1s.4-1 1-1Z"></path></svg><span style="border:0;clip:rect(0 0 0 0);clip-path:inset(50%);height:1px;margin:-1px;overflow:hidden;padding:0;position:absolute;width:1px;white-space:nowrap">, opens new tab</span></span></a></span></div></figure></div><div class="article-body-module__content__bnXL1"><div data-testid="ContextWidget" class="context-widget-module__container__b9mKr context-widget-module__with-scroll__CmEdD article-body-module__context_widget__sq1EI"><div data-testid="TabContainer" class="context-widget-module__tabcontainer__O1B-s context-widget-module__right-gradient__QLuno"><ul role="tablist" class="context-widget-module__tabs__AIjL0"><li data-testid="summary-tab" role="tab" aria-selected="true" tabindex="0" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf context-widget-module__tab__lRw-D context-widget-module__selected__Et295">Summary</li></ul></div><div data-testid="ContextWidgetContent" class="context-widget-module__content__lI1uo"><ul data-testid="Summary" class="summary-module__summary__QjADA"><li data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf summary-module__point__UgXPz">Nonfarm payrolls forecast to increase by 90,000 in September</li><li data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf summary-module__point__UgXPz">Unemployment rate expected to be 4.1% for a third straight month</li><li data-testid="Body" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf summary-module__point__UgXPz">Wages likely increased 3.2% on year-over-year basis after 3.1% gain in August</li></ul></div></div><div data-testid="paragraph-0" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">WASHINGTON, Oct 2 (Reuters) - US job growth likely slowed in September and the unemployment rate is forecast to have been 4.1% for a third straight month, suggesting the labor market remained stable heading into the fourth quarter.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-1" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">The anticipated moderation would follow a surprise jump in <a data-testid="Link" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/us-nonfarm-payrolls-surge-august-unemployment-rate-steady-41-2026-09-04/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">nonfarm payrolls in August</a>, which economists partly attributed to volatility linked to the model the government uses to strip out seasonal fluctuations from the data. The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish its closely watched employment report on Friday.</div><p data-testid="promo-box" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__base__o--Cl body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__promo-box__hVl8h"> Sign up <a data-testid="Link" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="undefined?location=article-paragraph&redirectUrl=%2Fbusiness%2Fus-job-growth-expected-slow-september-unemployment-rate-likely-steady-2026-10-02%2F" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">here.</a></p><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><div data-testid="paragraph-2" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">"I am expecting a reaffirmation of the 'low-hire, low-fire' American labor market," said Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM. "At this point, we're at full employment, and I think there will be nothing in the jobs report that will cause the <a data-testid="Link" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/fed-may-take-time-make-next-interest-rate-move-jefferson-says-2026-10-01/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">Federal Reserve</a> to change its bias from one more hike this year."</div><div data-testid="paragraph-3" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 90,000 last month after surging by 162,000 in August, a Reuters survey of economists predicted. Estimates ranged from as low as 35,000 to as high as 180,000. Economists expected August's job count, which was the largest in five months, to be revised down. The initial payrolls print for August has typically been weak, making this year's jump an anomaly.</div><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><div data-testid="paragraph-4" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">"We suspect that the seasonally adjusted August nonfarm payroll print will be revised down as the BLS extends its seasonal adjustment procedure forward to incorporate the September data," said Marc Giannoni, chief US economist at Barclays. "The seasonal adjustment significantly exaggerated that month's employment gain. Had the August nonfarm payroll employment been adjusted with the August 2025 seasonal factors, it would have registered a drop of 74,000 jobs."</div><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><div data-testid="paragraph-5" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Economists said there were no signs yet that the <a data-testid="Link" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">US-Israel war with Iran</a> was disrupting the labor market. But they expected the growing headwinds from the conflict in the Middle East, including high energy prices and strained supply chains, to start having an impact by the end of this year.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-6" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Diesel prices are at record highs and could start to exert pressure beyond the transportation and agricultural sectors. Ongoing tariffs also are a source of concern, with an <a data-testid="Link" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/us-manufacturing-steady-september-input-prices-increase-2026-10-01/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">Institute for Supply Management</a> survey on Thursday showing rising anxiety among manufacturers over the trade war with Canada.</div><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><div data-testid="paragraph-7" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Robust corporate profit growth and resilient domestic demand are for now shielding workers from layoffs. Historically low layoffs account for labor market stability, with hiring at a modest level.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-8" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">"There's just too many negative things playing out in terms of problems with fuel prices, uncertainty over the political outlook and trade policies," said Brian Bethune, an economics professor at Boston College. "I wouldn't be surprised if employment hits the wall next month."</div><div data-testid="element" class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"></div><h2 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6__-zrtS article-body-module__heading__KTJKz">AI INVESTMENT SUPPORTING MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION</h2><div data-testid="paragraph-9" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Economists expected a moderation in employment growth in the leisure and hospitality industry as well as local government education after large gains in August. Another month of strong increases is forecast for construction payrolls, partly driven by the building of data centers to support AI technology.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-10" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">A fourth straight month of double-digit employment gains is expected for the manufacturing sector, also in part related to the infrastructure buildout for artificial intelligence.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-11" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Economists also said it was unclear when the termination of Temporary Protected Status for hundreds of thousands of Haitian immigrants would show up in the data.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-12" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">"Our base case is that this will likely play out gradually over a period of months as a mild headwind to payroll growth rather than as a one-time shock," said Shruti Mishra, an economist at Bank of America Securities. "The impact should be cushioned by alternative legal status for some workers, gradual employer adjustment, and persistent labor shortages in several affected sectors."</div><div data-testid="paragraph-13" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Together with worker retirements, the Trump administration's immigration crackdown, which also includes deportations, has reduced labor supply, helping to keep a lid on the unemployment rate. The economy needs to create between 50,000 and 80,000 jobs per month to keep up with growth in the working-age population, economists estimated.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-14" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Economists said a low jobless rate should not be mistaken for a tight labor market, adding that the focus should be on wage growth. Wages are forecast to have increased 3.2% on a year-over-year basis in September after rising 3.1% in August, indicating that the labor market is not a source of inflation.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-15" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">The US central bank <a data-testid="Link" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/warshs-words-may-matter-more-than-anticipated-fed-rate-hike-2026-09-16/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">last month raised</a> its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to the 3.75%-4.00% range, the first hike in three years, and flagged further increases in borrowing costs ahead. The odds of another rate hike this month were diminished by cooler-than-expected <a data-testid="Link" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-inflation-rises-less-than-expected-august-consumer-spending-surges-2026-09-30/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__inherit-color__PhuPF text-module__inherit-font__1P1hv text-module__inherit-size__EyiQW link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_default__-okuC">inflation readings</a> for August and July.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-16" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">Financial markets are pricing in a roughly 28% chance of further monetary policy tightening at the US central bank's October 27-28 meeting, down from about 69% a week ago, CME Group's FedWatch tool showed.</div><div data-testid="paragraph-17" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__small_body__gOmDf article-body-module__paragraph__Ts-yF">"An unemployment rate that falls because of lower participation due to demographic forces is not necessarily a tightening labor market that is generating upward pressure on wages," said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup.</div><div class="article-body-module__element__5eCce"><p data-testid="SignOff" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__extra_small__8Buss body-module__full_width__kCIGb body-module__extra_small_body__Bfz20 sign-off-module__text__LQAMP">Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Paul Simao</p></div><p data-testid="Body" dir="ltr" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__regular__qJJtA text-module__small__sph8i 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15.867,1.7005 15.667,1.567 L15.6665,1.5665 Z M10,8.8335 C10,9.2335 9.7335,9.5 9.3335,9.5 L2,9.5 C1.6,9.5 1.3335,9.2335 1.3335,8.8335 L1.3335,2.167 C1.3335,1.767 1.6,1.5005 2,1.5005 L9.3335,1.5005 C9.7335,1.5005 10,1.767 10,2.167 L10,8.8335 Z M14.6665,7.5665 L11.8,5.5 L14.6665,3.4335 L14.6665,7.567 L14.6665,7.5665 Z"></path></svg></div><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/video/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Videos</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 21 18" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation"><path d="M13.1256562,0 C13.3881562,0 13.6506562,0.17954776 13.825875,0.3597705 L15.3135937,2.69996625 L18.375,2.69996625 C19.8627187,2.69996625 21,3.8697266 21,5.3999325 L21,15.3000337 C21,16.8302396 19.8627187,18 18.375,18 L2.625,18 C1.13728125,18 0,16.8302396 0,15.3000337 L0,5.3999325 C0,3.8697266 1.13728125,2.69996625 2.625,2.69996625 L5.6877187,2.69996625 L7.1754375,0.3597705 C7.3506562,0.18022275 7.6131562,0 7.8756562,0 L13.1256562,0 Z M12.6013125,1.79952751 L8.3140312,1.79952751 L6.8263125,4.1397233 C6.6510937,4.319271 6.3885937,4.4994938 6.1260937,4.4994938 L2.6263125,4.4994938 C2.1013125,4.4994938 1.75153125,4.8592643 1.75153125,5.3992575 L1.75153125,15.2993588 C1.75153125,15.839352 2.1013125,16.1991225 2.6263125,16.1991225 L18.3763125,16.1991225 C18.9013125,16.1991225 19.2510937,15.839352 19.2510937,15.2993588 L19.2510937,5.3992575 C19.2510937,4.8592643 18.9013125,4.4994938 18.3763125,4.4994938 L14.8765312,4.4994938 C14.6140312,4.4994938 14.3515312,4.319946 14.0890312,4.1397233 L12.6013125,1.79952751 Z M10.5013125,5.3999325 C12.95175,5.3999325 14.8765312,7.3796828 14.8765312,9.9001012 C14.8765312,12.4205197 12.95175,14.40027 10.5013125,14.40027 C8.050875,14.40027 6.1260937,12.4205197 6.1260937,9.9001012 C6.1260937,7.3796828 8.0515312,5.3999325 10.5013125,5.3999325 Z M10.5013125,7.19946 C9.0135937,7.19946 7.8763125,8.3692204 7.8763125,9.8994263 C7.8763125,11.4296321 9.0135937,12.5993925 10.5013125,12.5993925 C11.9890312,12.5993925 13.1263125,11.4296321 13.1263125,9.8994263 C13.1263125,8.3692204 11.9890312,7.19946 10.5013125,7.19946 Z"></path></svg></div><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/pictures/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Pictures</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 16 16" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" aria-labelledby="react-aria-_R_5q67la_"><path d="M14.386.95c.483.049.907.266 1.213.632v-.01c.296.366.434.811.394 1.276l-.956 9.82c-.079.78-.67 1.394-1.45 1.532v.06c0 .959-.798 1.74-1.774 1.74H1.775C.799 16 0 15.219 0 14.26V4.4c0-.959.799-1.74 1.775-1.74h.582l.108-1.088C2.544.672 3.323 0 4.23 0h.168l9.988.95ZM9.357 8.9l-.039.04v-.01l-5.926 5.745h8.44c.227 0 .414-.148.444-.366v-2.75L9.545 8.9a.208.208 0 0 0-.188 0Zm2.91.84V4.4h-.01a.427.427 0 0 0-.375-.425H1.775a.445.445 0 0 0-.444.366v9.928c0 .159.089.297.227.376L8.39 8.02a1.515 1.515 0 0 1 2.002-.09l.108.09 1.765 1.72Zm-8.57-7.08h8.116c.976 0 1.774.781 1.774 1.74v8.406a.363.363 0 0 0 .119-.188l.02-.07.956-9.809a.432.432 0 0 0-.335-.465l-.07-.02-9.988-.939a.44.44 0 0 0-.473.327l-.02.069-.098.95ZM2.515 6.863c0-.96.8-1.74 1.775-1.74.976 0 1.775.78 1.775 1.74 0 .959-.799 1.74-1.775 1.74-.976 0-1.775-.781-1.775-1.74Zm1.775.435a.44.44 0 0 0 .444-.435.44.44 0 0 0-.444-.435.44.44 0 0 0-.443.435.44.44 0 0 0 .443.435Z"></path></svg></div><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/graphics/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Graphics</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg viewbox="0 0 21 21" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation"><path fill-rule="evenodd" clip-rule="evenodd" d="M4.52695 8.72305C4.52695 5.42421 7.20119 2.74998 10.5 2.74998C13.7989 2.74998 16.4731 5.42421 16.4731 8.72305V11.7234H15.9615C15.4093 11.7234 14.9615 12.1711 14.9615 12.7234V19.6465C14.9615 20.1987 15.4093 20.6465 15.9615 20.6465H18.3C19.515 20.6465 20.5 19.6615 20.5 18.4465V13.9234C20.5 12.7328 19.5543 11.7631 18.3731 11.7246V8.72305C18.3731 4.37487 14.8482 0.849976 10.5 0.849976C6.15185 0.849976 2.62695 4.37487 2.62695 8.72305V11.7246C1.44574 11.7631 0.5 12.7328 0.5 13.9234V18.4465C0.5 19.6615 1.48497 20.6465 2.7 20.6465H5.03846C5.59075 20.6465 6.03846 20.1987 6.03846 19.6465V12.7234C6.03846 12.1711 5.59075 11.7234 5.03846 11.7234H4.52695V8.72305Z"></path></svg></div><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="https://www.reuters.com/podcasts/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Podcasts</span></a></li></ul></section></div><section data-testid="LinkGroup" class="site-footer-module__link-group__Hxt4R site-footer-module__hidden-mobile__5cjU9"><h3 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6_light__klgho link-group-module__label__mDGn2">Latest</h3><ul class="link-group-module__list__yrOzI link-group-module__vertical__vGvtx"><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Home</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sitemap/authors/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Authors</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sitemap/topics/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Topic Sitemap</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/archive/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Archive</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sitemap/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Article Sitemap</span></a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="LinkGroup" class="site-footer-module__link-group__Hxt4R"><h3 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6_light__klgho link-group-module__label__mDGn2">Browse</h3><ul class="link-group-module__list__yrOzI link-group-module__vertical__vGvtx"><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/world/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">World</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/business/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Business</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/markets/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Markets</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sustainability/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Sustainability</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/legal/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Legal</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/breakingviews/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Breakingviews</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/technology/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Technology</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/investigations/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Investigations</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/sports/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Sports</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/science/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Science</span></a></li><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><a data-testid="Link" target="_self" referrerpolicy="no-referrer-when-downgrade" href="/lifestyle/" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__default__R2Ckt link-module__link__INqxZ link-module__underline_on_hover__YTwYC link-group-module__link__BcHeN"><span data-testid="LinkGroupItem" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__medium__2Rl30 text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ">Lifestyle</span></a></li></ul></section><section data-testid="LinkGroup" class="site-footer-module__link-group__Hxt4R site-footer-module__hidden-mobile__5cjU9"><h3 data-testid="Heading" class="text-module__text__0GDob text-module__dark-grey__UFC18 text-module__light__ZYtNU text-module__heading_6__u1KdJ heading-module__base__p-zaD heading-module__heading_6_light__klgho link-group-module__label__mDGn2">Media</h3><ul class="link-group-module__list__yrOzI link-group-module__vertical__vGvtx"><li class="link-group-module__item__Za3t6"><div data-testid="Media" class="link-group-module__symbol__vLvQd media-module__symbol__O-kyE media-module__none__3jUM3"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 16 11" aria-hidden="true" focusable="false" role="presentation" 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unemployment rate is forecast to have been 4.1% for a third straight month, suggesting the labor market remained stable heading into the fourth quarter.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"The anticipated moderation would follow a surprise jump in <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/us-nonfarm-payrolls-surge-august-unemployment-rate-steady-41-2026-09-04/\">nonfarm payrolls in August</a>, which economists partly attributed to volatility linked to the model the government uses to strip out seasonal fluctuations from the data. The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish its closely watched employment report on Friday.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"\"I am expecting a reaffirmation of the 'low-hire, low-fire' American labor market,\" said Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM. \"At this point, we're at full employment, and I think there will be nothing in the jobs report that will cause the <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/fed-may-take-time-make-next-interest-rate-move-jefferson-says-2026-10-01/\">Federal Reserve</a> to change its bias from one more hike this year.\"","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 90,000 last month after surging by 162,000 in August, a Reuters survey of economists predicted. Estimates ranged from as low as 35,000 to as high as 180,000. Economists expected August's job count, which was the largest in five months, to be revised down. The initial payrolls print for August has typically been weak, making this year's jump an anomaly.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"\"We suspect that the seasonally adjusted August nonfarm payroll print will be revised down as the BLS extends its seasonal adjustment procedure forward to incorporate the September data,\" said Marc Giannoni, chief US economist at Barclays. \"The seasonal adjustment significantly exaggerated that month's employment gain. Had the August nonfarm payroll employment been adjusted with the August 2025 seasonal factors, it would have registered a drop of 74,000 jobs.\"","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Economists said there were no signs yet that the <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/\">US-Israel war with Iran</a> was disrupting the labor market. But they expected the growing headwinds from the conflict in the Middle East, including high energy prices and strained supply chains, to start having an impact by the end of this year.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Diesel prices are at record highs and could start to exert pressure beyond the transportation and agricultural sectors. Ongoing tariffs also are a source of concern, with an <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/us-manufacturing-steady-september-input-prices-increase-2026-10-01/\">Institute for Supply Management</a> survey on Thursday showing rising anxiety among manufacturers over the trade war with Canada.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Robust corporate profit growth and resilient domestic demand are for now shielding workers from layoffs. Historically low layoffs account for labor market stability, with hiring at a modest level.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"\"There's just too many negative things playing out in terms of problems with fuel prices, uncertainty over the political outlook and trade policies,\" said Brian Bethune, an economics professor at Boston College. \"I wouldn't be surprised if employment hits the wall next month.\"","type":"paragraph"},{"level":1,"content":"AI INVESTMENT SUPPORTING MANUFACTURING, CONSTRUCTION","type":"header"},{"content":"Economists expected a moderation in employment growth in the leisure and hospitality industry as well as local government education after large gains in August. Another month of strong increases is forecast for construction payrolls, partly driven by the building of data centers to support AI technology.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"A fourth straight month of double-digit employment gains is expected for the manufacturing sector, also in part related to the infrastructure buildout for artificial intelligence.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Economists also said it was unclear when the termination of Temporary Protected Status for hundreds of thousands of Haitian immigrants would show up in the data.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"\"Our base case is that this will likely play out gradually over a period of months as a mild headwind to payroll growth rather than as a one-time shock,\" said Shruti Mishra, an economist at Bank of America Securities. \"The impact should be cushioned by alternative legal status for some workers, gradual employer adjustment, and persistent labor shortages in several affected sectors.\"","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Together with worker retirements, the Trump administration's immigration crackdown, which also includes deportations, has reduced labor supply, helping to keep a lid on the unemployment rate. The economy needs to create between 50,000 and 80,000 jobs per month to keep up with growth in the working-age population, economists estimated.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Economists said a low jobless rate should not be mistaken for a tight labor market, adding that the focus should be on wage growth. Wages are forecast to have increased 3.2% on a year-over-year basis in September after rising 3.1% in August, indicating that the labor market is not a source of inflation.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"The US central bank <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/warshs-words-may-matter-more-than-anticipated-fed-rate-hike-2026-09-16/\">last month raised</a> its benchmark overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to the 3.75%-4.00% range, the first hike in three years, and flagged further increases in borrowing costs ahead. The odds of another rate hike this month were diminished by cooler-than-expected <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-inflation-rises-less-than-expected-august-consumer-spending-surges-2026-09-30/\">inflation readings</a> for August and July.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"Financial markets are pricing in a roughly 28% chance of further monetary policy tightening at the US central bank's October 27-28 meeting, down from about 69% a week ago, CME Group's FedWatch tool showed.","type":"paragraph"},{"content":"\"An unemployment rate that falls because of lower participation due to demographic forces is not necessarily a tightening labor market that is generating upward pressure on wages,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at 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Economists have begun to get concerned that we're really just starting to see the effects of this on overall inflation. And in all likelihood, the Federal Reserve is going to be put in a position where it has to try to restrict that demand in the economy to lower prices ultimately. And that, as you know, happens through interest rate increases. 'Have you decided to ban diesel exports?' 'I'm thinking about it.' So it has become the focus of a lot of international tension. Reuters reported earlier that there's a lot of pressure being put by the U.S., on France and Germany to release more petroleum reserves, including diesel reserves, to help alleviate some of those prices or potentially facing an export ban of U.S. diesel. The U.S. is a major, major exporter of diesel, and that would be problematic for international markets, but it would also be problematic for U.S. prices because we don't refine diesel products everywhere across the United States. So those geographical quirks mean that even an export ban might have a short-term effect on lifting supplies in the United States and reducing the price for a bit, but it will change refining dynamics and most petroleum market experts and economists expect ultimately the effect would be that it would lift prices, not relieve them for a long time."},"published_time":"2026-10-01T22:18:32Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T22:18:35Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abedb53e4b0142a92dbfe29-1790892897872","caption":"Record-high diesel prices could push up the cost of food, deliveries and other goods while adding to inflationary pressures. Reuters US Economics Editor Dan Burns explains.","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abedb53e4b0142a92dbfe29-1790892897872"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789373/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"13978","name":"US News","regions":["US"]},{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Global_Energy","name":"Energy","regions":["US"]},{"id":"HPUS","name":"RCOM Homepage US","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW684601102026RP1:5"},{"key":"byline","value":"VARIOUS"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 01"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. 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That are upcoming, specifically the one this month, it's now October 1st, the one October 28th, The odds of an increase have now gone from 70% yes last week to 30%. today, but today's reversal, I think there's no exact signs as to why. I think my guess would be positioning and short covering. There's a heavily shorted trade out there in the fund, in the institutional world of shorting treasuries. And I think they're coming in and covering their shorts a little bit because I believe the October increase was taken off the table in the last week."},"published_time":"2026-10-01T19:48:51Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T19:48:51Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abeb8d5e4b00e902ff5cd2f-1790884064473","caption":"Brad Bernstein, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management, explains why he believes Thursday's (October 1) bond selloff reversed course midday after sending US Treasury yields to multi-decade highs.","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abeb8d5e4b00e902ff5cd2f-1790884064473"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789367/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW689201102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA, UNITED STATES"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 01"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. 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Over last year, which is unprecedented. And what is that? We all know what's driving it. It's been driven by the AI spending. Which is flowing through every area of the economy, With over $8 trillion in money flowing into every area of the economy. And that is not going to be impacted by if oil is 90, 80, 70, or 100. That's number one. Number two: seasonality. Historically, September is the worst month of the year. It was down a little bit. Bonds had their worst month in many years. But most indices were negative last month, so right apart for the course. Going into the next three or so months, this is seasonally the best time of the year. Number three, midterms. Midterms are historically actually really bullish for the markets. So we've had since 1950, nineteen midterm elections. Since 1950, over the last 76 years, not one year later, so November 3rd to November 3rd next year, the last nineteen midterms, the market's up 19 out of 19. On average, 16-17% on average. So coming out of a midterm has historically been very bullish for the market. Number four: we are entering next year President Trump's third year in office. Historically, it's by far and away the best year for the markets under a presidency, 15 to 17% average returns in the third year of her presidency, versus 10 on average, and then fifth... When the truce happens again with Iran and I don't know that's today next week, next month, in the next couple of months, we will get one. That will be an inevitable catalyst again, like it was the summer that sent us to highs. We've kind of been stuck since that truce kind of broke up and oil went back from 70 to close to 100 in the low 90s today."},"published_time":"2026-10-01T19:51:59Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T19:52:00Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abeb97be4b00e902ff5cd31-1790884293288","caption":"Despite geopolitical uncertainty and recent market volatility, Brad Bernstein, managing director for UBS Private Wealth Management, said he believes stocks will continue to climb higher into 2027.","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abeb97be4b00e902ff5cd31-1790884293288"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789368/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Markets","name":"Markets","regions":["US"]},{"id":"MarketsNow","name":"Markets Now","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW689601102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA, UNITED STATES"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 01"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. 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Milana Vinn reports.","duration":84.5,"transcript_data":{"transcript":"We got an exclusive look into Anthropic's IPO prospectus and one thing that really jumped out at us was its relationship with Broadcom. Broadcom is playing a central role in Anthropic's infrastructure buildout. They are acting as a compute supplier. They provide an equipment lease. And they also providing financing for Anthropic. In fact, we learned they're providing up to $42 billion in financing to help pay for their five-year equipment lease of $125 billion. Anthropic is actually poised to be Broadcom's largest customer this year as well and they flagged in the IPO prospectus that there is a potential conflict of interest. Should Broadcom change the pricing for their equipment or hardware, it could affect Anthropic's ability to pay them back, affect Anthropic margins. So you can have direct business implication on Anthropic. What it really tells us is this is a prime example of circular financing that the market is talking about. And there is a really concentrated bet on Anthropic and other AI labs to be able to generate enough revenue to pay for these financing commitments down the line. If, for instance, they cannot generate enough revenue to pay for these financing commitments, there could be a ripple effect on the industry. it could affect their customers, their partners. It could also affect other AI companies that are looking to go public down the line or raise money."},"published_time":"2026-10-01T19:42:44Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T19:42:44Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abeb731e4b00e902ff5cd2b","caption":"Broadcom has agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion, the AI lab's IPO filing shows, deepening a relationship spanning compute supply, equipment leasing and financing that has become a prime example of the reciprocal AI spending worrying Wall Street skeptics. 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We estimate the Pacific Link will create 140,000 jobs across the country from the engineers who design it, the pipe fitters who lay it, the welders who connect it. It will generate over $20 billion in GDP per year and over $100 billion in government revenue by 2060. Even under any plausible net zero scenario, the IEA forecasts the world will still need tens of millions of barrels of crude a day. So, the question is: Who will emerge as the world's trusted suppliers? It should be us. It must be Canada. The oil sands are part of Canada's once-in-a-generation opportunity to become a global energy superpower, to transform our economy, to diversify our trade, to achieve greater strategic autonomy so we can continue to live our lives as we choose."},"published_time":"2026-10-01T16:42:30Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T16:42:32Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abe8d12e4b00e902ff5ccc4","caption":"Canada will fast track the approval process for a new proposed crude oil export pipeline to its west coast that could generate over C$20 billion ($14 billion) a year in GDP, Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Thursday (October 1).","type":"image","resizer_url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abe8d12e4b00e902ff5ccc4"},"source":{"hls":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/v3/playlist/789353/master.m3u8"},"channels":[{"id":"6ffc0233e09c26943b265ef3abd575b2d872818b","name":"Business","regions":["US"]},{"id":"americas","name":"Americas","regions":["US"]},{"id":"Global_Energy","name":"Energy","regions":["US"]}],"advert_info":{"advert_params":[{"key":"adfriendly","value":true}],"advert_zone":"/4735792/reuters.com"},"meta_data":[{"key":"link","value":"tag:reuters.com,2026:newsml_RW686801102026RP1:4"},{"key":"byline","value":"FORT MCMURRAY, ALBERTA, CANADA"},{"key":"hidden","value":"false"},{"key":"region","value":"Remote"},{"key":"dateline","value":"Reuters, Reuters, OCT 01"},{"key":"lmp-feed","value":"lp"},{"key":"copyright","value":"(c) 2026 Thomson Reuters, unless otherwise identified. 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I was in Hanover yesterday when they announced this and the top IG Metall negotiator for these wage talks was brandishing a letter saying they're terminating this agreement and this means war, basically. ''Volkswagen kind of torpedoed these labor talks on a separate issue by terminating 10 wage agreements that it has with the IG Metall. That's Germany's top industrial union. And that basically makes up the majority of Volkswagen's in-house wage agreement framework with workers. We're talking here agreements that govern all manner of things, weekly working hours, also holiday pay and bonuses, and basically covers about 100,000 workers at Volkswagen's main German plants. It's a huge escalation in an already tense situation with the union. Nerves are already really frayed with this restructuring plan. So we're not talking job cuts here. The company's now going after these labor standards that it says have just made German production too costly. 'It's important to note that at the moment they're covered by a strike truce and that runs until the end of the year. So IG Metall didn't outright threaten strikes yesterday, but I think it's safe to assume that that's a possibility from January 1. ''They say that the cost of producing in Germany is too high. That's mainly down to labor costs and they want to bring these down. They're looking at Chinese companies like BYD who are starting to make gains in the European market after unseating Volkswagen as top selling car maker in their own market of China. And they're just worried about their market share and competing with Chinese companies that have a lower cost base basically.' The unions, but also a lot of investors, analysts are saying, we can't do this just through cuts, you know, software is a huge issue for years, VW and other German car brands were hugely successful worldwide known for German manufacturing prowess, great quality. Top products and that's no longer really the case and they have to catch up there. So there's a lot of work to do not just in cost cutting but also on their strategy going forward. We've already had a really dramatic 2026 and it's only going to heat up from next year."},"published_time":"2026-10-01T13:05:43Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T13:05:44Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abe5a26e4b00e902ff5cbe6-1790859827685","caption":"Volkswagen terminated several wage deals with IG Metall on Wednesday (September 30), raising the possibility of strikes at the start of next year as Germany's top industrial union vowed to escalate its dispute with the world's second-largest automaker. 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And even yesterday, at the end of Wall Street trading, when everyone was counting the milestones for the whole quarter, It transpires that the full quarter was Unlike what we thought it would be yesterday, It was, in fact biggest rise in 10-year yields since 1994. And anyone who was around or can cast their minds back to 1994, that was the year of a huge Treasury sell-off that stalled President Bill Clinton at the time, his spending planning plans, and of course, saw the Fed chase those yields higher to try and rein in inflation expectations. And it's also the year in which that famous phrase the 'bond vigilantes', was coined, with James Carville saying if he'd come back in another life. The most powerful thing to come back at would be the bond market. So, these are the sorts of moves that we're seeing. This is where it's at. Sometimes, markets do just feed on themselves because there's a lot of maybe stress within that market we we don't know we can't see that yet that's why we keep pointing to the to the calendar events. There has been, as we mentioned yesterday, a lot of people on the wrong side of this bond market move all year, certainly on the wrong side of the Fed expectations. And perhaps, a lot of unwinding of positions that's just been taken on. It may also be simply that people are looking at the elections coming up. The midterms, of course, is now very close, only a month away or a little over a month away. I'm not sure exactly how that would fit to the bond market, but it certainly creates an additional risk factor going into the end of the year.'"},"published_time":"2026-10-01T12:35:02Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T12:35:04Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abe52f4e4b0142a92dbfd45-1790858024221","caption":"Treasury yields surge again as the bond selloff takes on a life of its own, despite softer inflation and lower oil prices. 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The market is now priced for a rate hike from the Bank of England in November or December, And another in February, even though policymakers have said they're reluctant to raise rates. While Liz Martins is a UK economist at HSBC, Liz, does this new bond sell-off reflect changing expectations for the Bank of England, or is it just following a global move? I think it is largely globally driven, but a lot of the factors that are driving expectations around the Bank of England are also common to the rest of the world as well, namely very high energy prices and food prices and inflation pressures in the pipeline, as well as fiscal concerns. Now, as it happens, you know, you mentioned the BOE being reluctant to raise interest rates, and I've shared that view for much of this year. But I think, you know, the longer this kind of energy crisis has gone on, the greater the pressure has built on the Bank of England. And so I have come around now to sharing the market's view that they will raise rates in November. But, you know, that's not the only story behind this guild market situation. It is a global sell-off. And I think a lot of that reflects rising concerns around, you know, developed market government debt, which levels are very, very high. And we're not seeing a particular ability or willingness on the part of governments. To get those under control. The UK though is still paying higher yield than comparable countries. Why does Britain continue to be so vulnerable to bond market sell-offs? So I think there's a few factors in there. I think one is we do have a slightly worse inflation, Recent inflation history than other countries. We do have, you know, some interesting bits in our recent fiscal history, Particularly around 2022 and the mini budget. And because we're talking about long-term guild yields, The 30-year in particular, that one also reflects a shift in who is buying. So pension funds are buying less of that long-term debt. So you've got a bit of a gap in the kind of demand side of the equation and all of those things have played into the UK being a little bit more vulnerable but the level is a bit higher but the general increase over the year is not particularly higher in the UK so it is a global story. We did find out yesterday that the UK economy grew faster than we were expecting in the second quarter, Meaning it was the fastest growing G7 economy in the first half of the year. How much room is there for optimism? There's always room for optimism, isn't there? I mean, you know, I was encouraged by the numbers. I mean, at the start of the year, I was feeling unusually optimistic for an economist. You know, I was thinking inflation is coming down, interest rates are coming down. The chancellor, the previous chancellor, had built in a bit more headroom. You know, it was looking good for this year. And then we had the big shock out of Iran at the end of February, and it felt like that had derailed the positivity. But actually, what the numbers yesterday showed is the UK had a really good Q2, and it was driven by consumption, it was driven by quite a good increase in business investment, but also exports as well. So it was across the board. We had a really good Q2, even with that shock that had emerged towards the end of Q1. So I think that's really encouraging. And there's a broader resilience picture If you look at the stress indicators, if you look at the redundancies, the bankruptcies, you know, they're still pretty low by historic standards. Having said that, I think we have to be realistic and say there are headwinds as we come towards the end of the year, particularly in the form of inflation. And interest rates rises. Prime Minister Andy Burnham threw an unexpected curveball this week by suggesting the UK could rejoin the EU. What could that mean for the economy? Well, look, I think leaving the EU has clearly had an economic price. I think if we look at, as I said, business investment is recovering now, but for a long time after that referendum, it flatlined. So that was a price, I think, that we paid. I think it's changed the shape of migration. It's played into inflation and wage growth, perhaps, you know, and it's had all kinds of impacts. And when we talk to our corporate customers, you know, a lot of them will still bring up Brexit as a factor and a headache for them. So I definitely think leaving the EU has been costly to the economy. You know, rejoining is a very long way away. And obviously, they're consulting and looking at all of the options. I would say, you know, clearly better trading relations with the EU would be really good for the economy and hopefully reverse some of the damage that has been done. But we must admit that it is not going to be a panacea, and the UK clearly has loads of other structural challenges like our demographics, the ageing population, structurally high costs of things like energy, the state of the public finances. All of those things are not going to be resolved overnight by re-entering the EU. Could a slightly closer relationship that Burnham might be able to negotiate with the EU such as rejoining a customs union make much difference or would the UK really need to rejoin the single market? Yeah, so the issue with the customs union alone is it means that the UK kind of takes on the rules and the tariffs of the EU. So it takes away that Brexit freedom that we have to do our own deals around the world. But the EU is still our largest trading partner. And so, you know, I think if you weigh it all up, then it probably is beneficial to be in that customs union, particularly for the exporters. But of course, you know, again, in terms of the wider impact, we must remember the UK is an 80% services economy. We are not a big manufacturing power. So it's great for those companies that are affected, but maybe not a panacea for the entire economy. That was Liz Martins of HSBC. Don't forget you can watch more videos on Reuters.com."},"published_time":"2026-10-01T12:33:45Z","updated_time":"2026-10-01T12:33:46Z","thumbnail":{"url":"https://ajo.prod.reuters.tv/api/v2/img/6abe5205e4b0142a92dbfd43","caption":"Yields on the UK's government debt reached their highest since 1998 on Thursday, a global move reflected in U.S. and European bond yields too. Economist Liz Martins of HSBC told Reuters the selloff showed markets lack faith in governments' ability to get their debt under control. 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