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California respondents opposition to 26A305
State of California · 2026-09-09
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No. 26A305
In the Supreme Court of the United States
UNITED STATES POSTAL SERVICE, et al.,
Applicants,
v.
CALIFORNIA, et al.,
Respondents.
DONALD J. TRUMP, et al.,
Applicants,
v.
LEAGUE OF WOMEN VOTERS OF MASSACHUSETTS, et al.,
Respondents.
OPPOSITION TO APPLICATION
ANDREA JOY CAMPBELL ROB BONTA
Attorney General of Attorney General of California
Massachusetts SAMUEL T. HARBOURT
Solicitor General
NICHOLAS W. BROWN HELEN H. HONG
Attorney General of Principal Deputy Solicitor General
Washington AARON D. PENNEKAMP
Supervising Deputy Solicitor General
AARON D. FORD IAN FEIN*
Attorney General of Nevada L. NICOLE ALLAN
Deputy Solicitors General
(Additional counsel listed
STATE OF CALIFORNIA
on signature pages)
DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE
455 Golden Gate Avenue, Suite 11000
San Francisco, CA 94102-7004
(415) 510-3466
Ian.Fein@doj.ca.gov
September 9, 2026 *Counsel of Record
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ii
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
Introduction ......................................................................................................... 1
Statement ............................................................................................................ 5
Argument ........................................................................................................... 10
I. Defendants are unlikely to succeed on the merits...................... 10
A. USPS lacks statutory and constitutional authority for
its unprecedented interference with state elections
administration on the eve of a major election .................. 10
B. The USPS rule is also procedurally defective .................. 24
II. Equitable considerations weigh heavily against a stay ............. 30
Conclusion.......................................................................................................... 41
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1
INTRODUCTION
Allowing the challenged USPS rule to take effect for this year’s imminent
November elections would “be an unmitigated disaster.” Those were the words
recently used by Utah’s Lieutenant Governor and top elections official when
raising alarm bells over the catastrophic harms threatened by USPS’ new
rule. 1 Officials in Florida and Ohio have voiced similar concerns. 2 And
declarations in the record from over two dozen other senior elections officials,
see Dkt. 4—including the Republican-appointed Chair of the Wisconsin
Elections Commission, see Dkt. 100-1—confirm those fears.3 In some States,
unrebutted evidence establishes that compliance with USPS’ rule would be
impossible ahead of the midterms, meaning that millions of voters would be
unable to vote by mail and some would not be able to vote at all. In the
remaining States, there would be chaos—and a significant risk that millions
more voters would be denied the ability to vote.
1 McKellar, Utah Clerks Don’t Expect Lawsuits Over Trump’s Mail-In Voting
Rule to Impact Elections This Year, Utah News Dispatch (updated Aug. 28,
2026), https://perma.cc/64E6-GYFU.
2 Griffin et al., Trump’s War on Mail-In Ballots Has Voters Baffled, N.Y. Times
(Sept. 6, 2026), https://perma.cc/3HF3-EQVD; Trau, Ohio Election Officials
Warn Against Trump’s Mail-In Ballot Changes, News 5 Cleveland (Aug. 28,
2026), https://perma.cc/77D8-P6MV; Rich, It’s Too Late to Implement the USPS
Ballot-Mailing Rule for This Election, NYU Law Democracy Project (Sept. 9,
2026), https://perma.cc/R9G4-5RWS (views of Ohio county elections official).
3 All citations to the docket are to the district court docket in the case filed by
the plaintiff States, California v. USPS, No. 26-cv-13917 (D. Mass.).
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There is nothing “modest” (e.g., Appl. 2), equitable, or lawful about USPS’
new ballot-mail restrictions. Tens of millions of Americans will likely wish to
vote by mail this year. Under the challenged rule, ballots will not be delivered
to those voters unless each is registered in USPS’ new, not-yet-functional
online portal; a voter-specific Intelligent Mail barcode (IMb) is printed on
outgoing and return ballot envelopes; and those barcodes are accurately tied to
each voter and uploaded to that same portal. The efforts that state and local
elections officials would have to undertake to even begin an attempt at
compliance are herculean. Among other things, officials would have to obtain
USPS approval of new ballot-envelope designs on an unprecedented timetable;
purchase new envelopes to replace those already ordered (if they can find
vendors who can fulfill last-minute orders, which is doubtful); develop and
upgrade technological systems to generate IMbs; upload voter-specific
information to the portal; ensure that ballots have the proper IMb for each
recipient; and train state and local officials on how to undertake these tasks.
Each step of this process is fraught with an extreme risk of error. And
even if state and local officials were somehow able to implement the new rule
perfectly, there is a high risk of technical breakdown, ineptitude, and delay on
the part of USPS. Recent reports from a USPS whistleblower and others about
the agency’s “sloppy and rushed” development of its new online portal and
ballot-scanning process, e.g., Dkt. 115 at 13, call to mind the disastrous rollout
of Healthcare.gov in 2013. Similarly here, the federal government is relying
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on “slapdash software development,” id. at 15; “insufficient internal testing,”
id. at 16; and “‘siloed’ . . . teams of developers . . . working independently
without any effort towards interoperability,” id. at 17. USPS also apparently
plans to use a “batch” scanning protocol—called a “zero-percent failure policy,”
id. at 19—whereby thousands or tens of thousands of ballots will be processed
simultaneously, and “if even one bar code on one single ballot . . . fails to
properly scan,” “the entire batch is rejected and sent back to the state,” id. at
10. Scanning failures “are predictable—and likely,” in light of the many
“scanning problems” recently experienced by USPS. Id. at 20.
USPS’ unprecedented experiment with our Nation’s most cherished
franchise—the right to vote—is unlawful. When an agency “‘claim[s] to
discover in a long-extant statute an unheralded power’ representing a
‘transformative expansion in [its] regulatory authority’” on a matter of political
significance, West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 724 (2022), the Court
“‘typically greet[s]’” such claims “with at least some ‘measure of skepticism,’”
Biden v. Nebraska, 600 U.S. 477, 516 (2023) (Barrett, J., concurring).
Skepticism is warranted here. Never before has USPS attempted to interfere
with elections in this way, let alone a fast-approaching election. And nothing
in federal law authorizes USPS to refuse to deliver ballots. To the contrary,
Congress has exhaustively enumerated the types of materials that USPS can
lawfully refuse to deliver. Ballots are not among them. Congress has also
repeatedly enacted measures to facilitate delivery and return of mail ballots.
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It has never tried to make it harder to vote by mail. And where Congress has
not authorized federal control over the “Times, Places and Manner” of
elections, U.S. Const., art. I, § 4, cl. 1, it is off limits to executive-branch
bureaucrats. In our constitutional system, that task is left to the States.
USPS’ novel ballot-mail requirements are also procedurally defective.
When unveiling new rules, agencies must acknowledge and take accountability
for the consequences of their actions. See, e.g., Encino Motorcars v. Navarro,
579 U.S. 211, 222 (2016). Here, USPS said almost nothing about the States’
reliance on existing mail-voting systems or the disruptive consequences of
rushing out a new set of requirements mere weeks before the November
elections. Nor did USPS provide more than vague, conclusory assertions about
its justification for this new measure. USPS also violated its duty to seek an
opinion from the Postal Regulatory Commission before making major service
changes. Had USPS complied, it is not difficult to imagine what the
Commission would have said. One commissioner recently criticized USPS for
failing to “run the tests to give us the validity that the damn thing will work.”
Katz, Postal Officials Say Trump’s Mail-Ballot Push Will Create Widespread
Errors, NOTUS (Aug. 27, 2026), https://perma.cc/SFX9-BZBD. “To do it in
three weeks,” he emphasized, “my God, there’s no way.” Id.
Given the new rule’s serious legal defects and threatened interference
with the ability of millions of people to vote, the request for a stay should be
denied. Mail-voting laws have made voting easier for millions of Americans,
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especially rural and disabled voters, as well as those traveling during the
election season. Indeed, in November 2024, roughly one in three American
voters cast mail ballots. States have also come to depend on mail voting. In
some cases, they have virtually eliminated in-person voting and lack the
infrastructure or resources to overhaul their systems by November. Whatever
else may be said of USPS’ new rule, it would wreak havoc on States and their
voters if it takes effect at this late point—when some States, including North
Carolina and Wisconsin, have already begun to mail out ballots. This Court
has repeatedly refused to allow far less disruptive changes to take effect on the
“the eve of an election.” E.g., Republican Nat’l Comm. v. Democratic Nat’l
Comm., 589 U.S. 423, 424 (2020) (per curiam). The Court should follow the
same course here by denying the stay application.
STATEMENT
1. The Constitution entrusts States with responsibility for regulating
federal elections unless Congress—not the Executive Branch—preempts their
legislative choices. E.g., U.S. Const. art. I, § 4, cl. 1. That was by design. The
Framers were intimately familiar with the British system, where “the
influence of the Crown on elections was most dangerously exerted.” 2 The
Records of the Federal Convention of 1787, at 204 (M. Farrand ed., 1911) (J.
Madison). The wisdom of the Framers’ decision has been validated over time.
As members of Congress recognized when overwhelmingly voting to enact the
Help America Vote Act of 2002, the Constitution’s “dispersal of responsibility
for election administration has made it impossible for a single centrally
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controlled authority to dictate how elections will be run, and thereby be able
to control the outcome.” H.R. Rep. No. 107-329, pt. 1, at 32 (2001).
One way that States have exercised their authority over federal elections
is by allowing mail voting. Mail voting increases turnout across political
parties and is especially helpful for rural and disabled voters.4 Today, “every
State lets at least some residents vote” by mail. Watson v. RNC, 146 S. Ct.
2165, 2171 (2026). Of those, 29 States mail a ballot to any voter who requests
one, while 8 States plus the District of Columbia mail a ballot to every
registered, active voter. See Nat’l Conf. of State Legislatures, Table 1: States
with No-Excuse Absentee Voting (updated July 17, 2026),
https://perma.cc/65CU-8UP3. Some States, such as Washington and Oregon,
have virtually eliminated in-person voting and use mail ballots for nearly all
voters (98.5% and 99.3% respectively). See, e.g., Dkt. 4-4 ¶ 9; Dkt. 4-19 ¶ 4.
And in many other States, large portions of the population vote by mail—for
example, 91.5% in Utah, 74.7% in Arizona, and 53.7% in Indiana.5 In the 2024
general election, roughly 30% of voters nationwide cast their ballots by mail.
See U.S. Election Assistance Comm’n, Election Admin. and Voting Survey, at
ii (June 2025), https://perma.cc/8J5Y-5TVN.
4 See, e.g., Angel et al., Mail Voting in the US: Data Points to Very Low Fraud
and Significant Benefits to Voters, Brookings (Nov. 6, 2025),
https://perma.cc/E3WD-8AN7.
5 See Stevenson, Map Shows States Most Affected by Trump’s Mail Ballot
Rules, Newsweek (Sept. 4, 2026), https://perma.cc/HK5E-4BUX.
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2. In March 2026, President Trump issued Executive Order 14399. 91
Fed. Reg. 17125 (Mar. 31, 2026). Among other things, Section 3 of the EO
required USPS to develop a new set of ballot delivery restrictions before the
November midterm elections. EO § 3(b). Plaintiffs challenged the EO’s
directive to USPS as ultra vires because Congress had not authorized any such
program. The district court agreed and enjoined USPS from implementing the
EO as to plaintiff States for the November midterm elections. See California
v. Trump, 2026 WL 1826490, at *15-18 (D. Mass. June 25, 2026). This Court
stayed the injunction. Trump v. California, 609 U.S. __, 2026 WL 2473573, *5
(2026) (per curiam). It deemed plaintiffs’ challenge to the EO nonjusticiable,
but made clear that they could challenge the final USPS rule and that nothing
in the Court’s decision suggested the rule “will necessarily be lawful.” Id.
In late August, USPS issued its final rule. 91 Fed. Reg. 54966 (Aug. 26,
2026). It provides for USPS to refuse to deliver ballots unless state and local
elections officials comply with multiple new requirements. Mail ballot
envelopes must now meet design standards that include, among other things,
full automation compatibility and a voter-specific IMb printed on outgoing and
return envelopes. Id. at 54990-54991 (§ 705.24.3). After elections officials
submit their designs for USPS review and obtain approval, id. at 54979, they
must upload voter information, including IMbs, to a new online portal, id. at
54991 (§ 705.24.4). Elections officials must then bring their mail ballots to
USPS for a “verification” process in which USPS will scan the IMbs before
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accepting the ballots for delivery. Id. at 54991 (§ 705.24.5); see id. at 54981-
54982. If the IMb on an envelope does not match the information in the portal,
the ballot “will be returned” and not delivered. Id. at 54991 (§ 705.24.5.3).
The rule was finalized just weeks before the November elections and only
days before ballots had to be sent in some States. See, e.g., N.C. Gen. Stat.
§ 163-227.10(a) (September 4 deadline to begin mailing ballots). USPS
nonetheless assigned the rule an “immediate effective date”—five days before
its publication in the Federal Register—to facilitate “implementation of this
rule in time for the 2026 general election.” 91 Fed. Reg. at 54966. The agency
only briefly addressed its decision to apply the rule to the imminent elections.
Id. at 54985. USPS noted “logistical or financial difficulties [that] states may
face complying with the rule, including some claims that immediate
implementation would prove impossible.” Id. But it brushed aside those
concerns and concluded “there is no compelling reason for any delay.” Id.
3. Plaintiff States filed this lawsuit challenging the rule, see Dkt. 1, and
moved for a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction in light of
the rapidly approaching November elections, see Dkt. 5. On August 27, the
district court granted a TRO while the expedited preliminary injunction
proceedings continued. Dkt. 31. Defendants and intervenors appealed the
TRO and moved for a stay pending appeal. See Dkts. 58, 61. The district court
denied those motions. Dkt. 72. Briefing on defendants’ and intervenors’ stay
motions concluded in the court of appeals on September 2.
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The district court held its preliminary injunction hearing on September 3
and indicated that it intended to rule promptly. A few hours later, defendants
filed an application with this Court to stay the TRO. No. 26A297. The next
day, the district court granted plaintiffs’ motions for a preliminary injunction
and dissolved the TRO. App’x 47a-49a. The court concluded that plaintiffs
were likely to succeed on their claims that the rule exceeded USPS’
constitutional and statutory authority, id. at 25a-31a; that plaintiffs were
irreparably harmed by the rule, id. at 32a-43a; and that “immediate
implementation . . . threatens disenfranchisement of millions of United States
citizens,” whereas “the record includes no evidence relating to fraudulent mail
voting to support [USPS’] rushed implementation” of the rule, id. at 45a-46a.
The court enjoined the rule’s provisions only “to the extent [they are]
mandatory.” Id. at 48a. The court also limited the preliminary injunction to
the November elections. Id. at 47a-48a.
In its decision, the district court denied defendants’ request for a stay of
the preliminary injunction. App’x 46a-47a. Defendants and intervenors
appealed the injunction, Dkts. 158, 159, and moved for a stay before the court
of appeals. Defendants then withdrew their earlier application for this Court
to stay the (now-dissolved) TRO and filed this application to stay the
preliminary injunction. Plaintiffs filed their response to the stay motions in
the court of appeals on Monday of this week. As of the time of this filing, the
court of appeals has not yet ruled on the stay requests.
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ARGUMENT
Defendants bear “an ‘especially heavy burden’” in seeking emergency
relief from this Court. Little v. Reclaim Idaho, 591 U.S. 1060, 1063 (2020)
(Roberts, C.J., concurring in grant of a stay); see, e.g., Trump v. Illinois, 146 S.
Ct. 432 (2025). They must make “‘a strong showing that [they are] likely to
succeed on the merits’” and that the equitable considerations weigh in their
favor. Nken v. Holder, 556 U.S. 418, 434 (2009). They cannot do so. Indeed,
while defendants are exceedingly unlikely to prevail on the merits, the
equitable considerations make the relief sought by defendants unthinkable:
allowing USPS’ new rule to take effect would be virtually certain to prevent
many millions of Americans from casting mail ballots in this fall’s elections.
I. DEFENDANTS ARE UNLIKELY TO SUCCEED ON THE MERITS
A. USPS Lacks Statutory and Constitutional Authority for
Its Unprecedented Interference with State Elections
Administration on the Eve of a Major Election
1. A federal agency “‘literally has no power to act’ . . . unless and until
Congress authorizes it to do so.” FEC v. Cruz, 596 U.S. 289, 301 (2022). That
principle is especially clear in the context of federal elections because the
Constitution commits control to Congress and the States, not the Executive.
See U.S. Const. art. I, § 4, cl. 1. Here, none of the statutes invoked by
defendants even mention mail ballots. Nor do they confer on USPS authority
to virtually eliminate mail voting on the eve of a major election in States where
compliance with the rule’s requirements would be infeasible. Infra pp. 33-37.
The relevant provisions instead use generic language to grant USPS authority
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to adopt “rules and regulations . . . as may be necessary in the execution of its
functions”; engage in “powers incidental, necessary, or appropriate to the
carrying on of its functions”; and “provide for the collection, handling,
transportation, [and] delivery” of mail. 39 U.S.C. § 401(2), (10); id. § 404(a)(1).
Such “humdrum” provisions, Biden v. Nebraska, 600 U.S. 477, 499 (2023),
cannot support USPS’ exercise of sweeping power over elections. Defendants’
interpretation of those provisions would grant USPS “virtually unlimited
power,” id. at 502, to severely restrict mail voting—not just for this year’s
upcoming elections (when compliance is impossible or virtually impossible in
many States, infra pp. 33-37), but in all future elections. Under USPS’ novel
understanding of the postal statutes, its authority would allow it to impose any
conditions on mail voting, up to and including conditions that would effectively
abolish voting by mail. Cf. Dkt. 1 ¶ 4 (President Trump commenting that he
wants to “get rid of MAIL-IN BALLOTS”). For instance, USPS could require
a notarized signature on the ballot envelope; require voters to deliver their
ballots to a mail-processing facility in person; or accept mail ballots only during
a short period, perhaps just a single day. And under USPS’ theory, it could
take any of these steps mere days before mail voting begins in any election
cycle—without even being subject to basic arbitrary-and-capricious review
under the APA. Compare, e.g., Appl. 33, with infra p. 22. Such sweeping power
would enable USPS to effectively enact a nationwide policy against mail voting
that “Congress has chosen not to enact itself.” Biden, 600 U.S. at 503.
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Congress has hardly been silent on the subject of mail voting. It has
addressed the issue multiple times—but only by requiring USPS to make mail
voting easier for States and voters. The National Voter Registration Act
(NVRA) requires USPS to afford favorable postage rates to certain election
mail. 39 U.S.C. § 3629. And the Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee
Voting Act (UOCAVA) requires USPS to deliver ballots “expeditiously and free
of postage.” Id. § 3406(a)(1). At the same time, Congress has declined to enact
legislation that would allow USPS to treat ballots as “nonmailable” if they do
not have barcodes like those required by the rule here. See, e.g., Vote by Mail
Tracking Act, H.R. 5658, 118th Cong. (2023), https://perma.cc/9PXA-A4TS. 6
And when Congress has made major changes to voting laws, it has been careful
to provide sufficient lead time to prevent interference with elections. See, e.g.,
107 Stat. 77, 89 (1993) (NVRA enacted 1993, but effective 1995).
There is no “historical precedent” for “the breadth of authority that the
[USPS] now claims,” “a telling indication that the [challenged rule] extends
beyond the agency’s legitimate reach.” NFIB v. OSHA, 595 U.S. 109, 119 (2022)
(per curiam) (internal quotation marks omitted); see, e.g., Dkt. 119-1 ¶ 17.
USPS’ prior exercises of statutory authority have involved mundane topics like
making sure “[a] clear space [is] available on all mail for the address,” Domestic
6 Under the “Vote by Mail Tracking Act”—a legislative proposal introduced in
several recent congressional sessions—States would be required to add
barcodes to mail ballots to enable voters to track their own ballots upon
submission. That legislative proposal does not provide for a portal or data-
matching scheme akin to what the challenged USPS rule requires.
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Mail Manual, 602.1.1; setting special “[p]eriodicals prices” for “publisher[s] or
registered news agent[s],” id. at 207.1.1; and allowing customers to “file an
indemnity claim for insured mail,” id. at 609.1.1. Even the examples of
election-specific policies discussed by defendants—such as optional “design
elements,” “prioritization” of ballot mail, and delivery of “absentee balloting
materials” if a mailer does not “affix the necessary postage,” Appl. 20 (internal
quotation marks omitted)—lack the sweeping features and disruptive
consequences of the rule challenged here. Indeed, none of those examples allow
USPS to refuse to deliver ballots. To the contrary, they make it easier for
ballots to be delivered and returned. That is consistent with Congress’
judgment and the bipartisan judgment of many States, that mail voting should
be encouraged. See, e.g., supra pp. 6, 12.
Defendants assert that plaintiffs draw an “illusory distinction” between
“rules that facilitate voting and rules that burden voting.” Appl. 21. But as
discussed above, it is Congress that has historically drawn that distinction. In
any case, plaintiffs can certainly conceive of “rules that facilitate voting” in far-
reaching ways that would exceed USPS’ powers. For example, without express
congressional authorization, USPS would not enjoy authority to mandate, as a
condition of delivering ballots, that States significantly expand the time
available for mail voting. Nor could USPS direct States to allow all of their
voters to cast ballots by mail, on a no-excuse basis, as a condition of accepting
ballots for delivery. It is not difficult to imagine a future presidential
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administration wanting to adopt such policies. Under defendants’ limitless
theory, those policies would presumably be valid. Under plaintiffs’ narrower,
more constrained view of USPS’ power, they would not.
Defendants also try to depict the USPS rule as “modest.” E.g., Appl. 2.
They assert that the rule “regulates only how States must prepare, design, and
present [ballot] envelopes,” id. at 18, and “requires States to upload . . .
information,” id. at 3. But “[l]abeling” the rule as modest “does not lessen [its]
effect.” Biden, 600 U.S. at 496. And USPS’ focus on “envelope-design and
addressee-information requirements” (e.g., Appl. 19) omits the rule’s most
significant feature: USPS will refuse to deliver ballots that do not satisfy its
untested protocol for matching ballot mail with information in its new, not-yet-
functional portal. Defendants likewise ignore the overwhelming record
evidence that the rule risks denying mail ballots to millions of voters. Infra
pp. 33-40. In light of that evidence, USPS has effectively “seize[d] control of
States’ administration of elections,” contra Appl. 3, at least for purposes of the
upcoming elections. Giving USPS the power to interfere with imminent
elections in this way would represent “‘a transformative expansion in [its]
regulatory authority.’” West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 724 (2022).
For similar reasons, defendants are wrong to deny that this case poses a
“major question” of “political significance.” 91 Fed. Reg. at 54973; see Appl. 23-
24. The rule challenged here arguably has greater political significance than
the subject of any of the Court’s prior major-questions cases. Roughly one in
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three voters cast ballots by mail in the November 2024 election. Supra p. 6.
Because USPS’ new requirements will likely make mail voting impossible in
some States while depriving many voters of mail ballots in others, infra pp. 33-
40, the rule threatens to have a profound, calamitous impact on voting rights
and elections administration. If that does not make this case one of “‘political
significance,’” Biden, 600 U.S. at 502, it is hard to see what would. Cf. Bost v.
Ill. State Bd. of Elections, 607 U.S. 71, 77 (2026) (“electoral process” is “‘of the
most fundamental significance under our constitutional structure’”).
Yet another “telltale sign” that USPS has “transgressed its statutory
authority” is that it is regulating well “outside its wheelhouse.” Biden, 600 U.S.
at 518 (Barrett, J., concurring). USPS’ “day-in, day-out work,” id. at 519, of
ensuring “efficient postal services at fair and reasonable rates and fees,” 39
U.S.C. § 403(a), hardly qualifies it to make complex judgments about election
administration. Compare 52 U.S.C. § 20921 (establishing Election Assistance
Commission). Yet in the final rule’s text, USPS repeatedly invokes policy
concerns about “protect[ing] the integrity of federal elections.” E.g., 91 Fed.
Reg. at 54969. USPS’ application likewise portrays the rule as a “significant
federal election-integrity measure.” Appl. 13. In fact, that is the only asserted
basis USPS has ever provided for the rule. Plaintiffs now contend that the rule
is best understood as “regulat[ing] the U.S. mail” rather than “regulat[ing]
elections.” Id. at 19. But given the rule’s undeniable impacts on the
availability of mail voting in the upcoming election—and the rule’s origins in
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an elections-focused executive order, supra p. 7—it is difficult to see how
anyone could conceive of the rule as anything other than an elections
regulation, which has always been its sole purported policy justification.
The Court should thus be especially hesitant to conclude that Congress
intended to “delegate[] [the] ‘highly consequential power’” that USPS now
claims. Learning Res., Inc. v. Trump, 607 U.S. 229, 243 (2026) (plurality op.).
As discussed above, supra p. 5, the Framers deliberately entrusted power over
elections to Congress and the States, not the Executive. And where a case
involves a “core congressional power,” Learning Res., 607 U.S. at 243, or
threatens to “‘significantly alter the balance between federal and state power,’”
the Court generally “‘require[s] Congress to enact exceedingly clear language,’”
Ala. Ass’n of Realtors v. Dep’t of Health & Hum. Servs., 594 U.S. 758, 764 (2021)
(per curiam). That is the case here: the “policy of Congress for so great a part
of our constitutional life has been, and now is, to leave the conduct of the
election of its members to state laws, administered by state officers.” United
States v. Gradwell, 243 U.S. 476, 485 (1917). “[W]henever [Congress] has
assumed to regulate such elections it has done so by positive and clear statutes.”
Id. Defendants identify nothing “positive and clear” in support of USPS’ ballot-
verification and non-delivery rule—certainly nothing authorizing USPS to
adopt such a rule on the eve of a major election.
2. There is a second, independent statutory basis to invalidate USPS’
new rule. As USPS has acknowledged, only Congress has “authority to create
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new categories of ‘nonmailable matter.’” 91 Fed. Reg. at 54974; see Ex parte
Jackson, 96 U.S. 727, 732 (1877). That is because Congress has exhaustively
delineated the categories of materials that USPS can lawfully refuse to deliver.
See, e.g., 39 U.S.C. §§ 3001-3018; see also id. § 3001(a). And when Congress
enumerates an “‘established series,’” “any ‘omission’ from that series
necessarily ‘bespeaks a negative implication.’” Esteras v. United States, 606
U.S. 185, 195 (2024); see id. (“expressio unius est exclusio alterius”).
Consistent with that principle, the Court long ago held that USPS “cannot
exclude or refuse to deliver” mail unless authorized by “some law of Congress.”
Am. Sch. of Magnetic Healing v. McAnnulty, 187 U.S. 94, 109 (1902). “[P]ostal
laws make a clear-cut division between mailable and nonmailable material,”
Hannegan v. Esquire, Inc., 327 U.S. 146, 152 (1946), and the power to define
new categories of nonmailable material “has been zealously watched and
strictly confined” by Congress, id. at 156 n.18. Critically here, Congress has
not authorized USPS to treat ballots as nonmailable.
Defendants respond that the new data-matching and non-delivery
requirements do not qualify as “mailability” restrictions because they impose
“conditions on the acceptance of mailable matter” without “prohibit[ing]
[anything] from being mailed altogether.” 91 Fed. Reg. at 54973-54974; see
Appl. 22. But the same could be said of many restrictions expressly treated as
“mailability” rules by Congress. See, e.g., 39 U.S.C. § 3001(n)(1) (“hazardous
material is nonmailable” unless “authorized by” conditions imposed by USPS);
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18
id. § 3001(g) (fragrance ad samples nonmailable unless sealed in certain way);
id. § 3010 (conditions on mailing of sexually oriented ads). USPS cannot invent
a definition of “mailability” that ignores the way Congress has used the term.
And it is telling that, when members of Congress recently proposed legislation
conditioning the delivery of ballot mail on States’ use of trackable barcodes,
they did so by proposing to amend Title 39’s central mailability provision and
designating noncompliant ballots as “nonmailable.” Vote by Mail Tracking Act,
H.R. 5658, 118th Cong. (2023), https://perma.cc/9PXA-A4TS.
Defendants argue that, if the new ballot-mail restrictions are treated as
unlawful mailability regulations, then USPS would lack the ability to address
several other issues, ranging from the dangers of replica explosives to the
failure of senders to affix proper postage. See Appl. 17-23. Defendants are
wrong. Their examples only illustrate ways in which Congress has—unlike
here—given USPS express authority to adopt limits on mailability. Take, for
example, the two restrictions most heavily featured in defendants’ application:
restrictions governing replica explosives and cremated remains. E.g., id. at 16-
17. In 18 U.S.C. § 1716, Congress provided that all “mechanical, chemical, or
other devices or compositions . . . and all other natural or artificial articles,
compositions, or material which may kill or injure another, or injure the mails
or other property” “are nonmailable,” id. § 1716(a), unless mailed “in
accordance with the rules . . . prescribed by the Postal Service,” id. § 1716(j)(1).
Congress also provided that USPS can impose conditions on the mailing of “any
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19
such articles” that “are not outwardly or of their own force dangerous or
injurious.” Id. § 1716(b); see also 39 U.S.C. § 3001(a).
USPS has long taken the position that Section 1716 authorizes its
restrictions on replica explosives and cremated remains.7 That longstanding
position—which defendants apparently now disavow, see Appl. 17—was
plainly correct. Replica explosives are “devices or compositions” that threaten
to “injure” USPS workers or “injure the mails or other property,” 18 U.S.C.
§ 1716(a), because “postal operations have been disrupted and facilities have
been evacuated when replica or inert explosive devices have been discovered
in the mail,” 75 Fed. Reg. 30300, 30300 (June 1, 2010). Cremated remains, like
other “[p]owders” subject to USPS mailability restrictions, threaten to “cause
soiling, damage, discomfort or destruction, upon escape (leakage).” 90 Fed.
Reg. 9843, 9843 (Feb. 19, 2025). They therefore qualify as “compositions” or
“material” which may “injure the mails or other property.” 18 U.S.C. § 1716(a);
see 83 Fed. Reg. 1189, 1190 (Jan. 10, 2018) (explaining that these and other
related rules mitigate “the potential for serious injury to Postal Service
employees and the general public, as well as the potential for damage to USPS
equipment”). To say that ballot mail “does not present the same operational
7 The cremated-remains and replica-explosives rules are USPS regulations on
“Restricted Matter,” defined to include materials “restricted by 18 U.S.C.
§ 1716(a).” USPS, Publication 52, ch. 1, § 122, https://perma.cc/R95W-BAXS;
see id., ch. 2, § 211, https://perma.cc/2J4D-GJQ3 (invoking 18 U.S.C. § 1716);
id., ch. 4, § 434 (Replica or Inert Explosive Devices), https://perma.cc/YMA6-
GHQY; id., ch. 4, § 451.22 (Cremated Remains), https://perma.cc/RK6T-ET8B.
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20
issues” (Appl. 17) as materials that threaten panic, evacuations, massive
postal-service disruptions, and property damage is “a delicately put
understatement.” Watson v. RNC, 146 S. Ct. 2165, 2175 (2026).
Congress has also given USPS ample authority to address other examples
discussed in the application—for example, restrictions on delivery of
“unstamped” mail or “a heavy package if the customer failed to pay sufficient
postage.” Appl. 22. Under 39 U.S.C. § 404(a)(2), USPS may “prescribe . . . the
amount of postage and the manner in which it is to be paid.” That express
grant of authority plainly encompasses the power not to deliver mail lacking
proper postage. And under 39 U.S.C. § 3001(c)(1)(A), “[m]atter which . . .
exceeds [USPS-devised] size and weight limits . . . is nonmailable.” USPS
likewise has congressionally authorized tools to address “elder-abuse mail
scams.” Appl. 18; see, e.g., 39 U.S.C. § 3001(d); id. § 3005(a)(1).8
The only other specific restriction discussed in the application reveals just
how far defendants have to stretch in their attempt to identify an analogue for
USPS’ new ballot-mail policy. Defendants analogize to a rule requiring that
mail include a “visible and legible” delivery address. Appl. 21. They assert
that “there does not appear to be any specific statutory authority” for that
policy. Id. Of course, an identifiable delivery address is necessary for USPS
8 The “election-specific mail-preparation policies” described by defendants
(Appl. 19) are not restrictions on mailability. As defendants acknowledge,
many such policies are recommended, not mandatory. Id. at 3, 20. And none
bars USPS from delivering ballot mail. See, e.g., id. at 20 (discussing policies
designed to “prioritize” ballot mail and ensure delivery).
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21
“to provide for the . . . delivery . . . of mail.” 39 U.S.C. § 404(a)(1). And basic
postage formatting requirements have always been treated as different in kind
from restrictions concerning the mailability of specific materials. Otherwise,
USPS would have unlimited power to devise any new mailability restriction it
wishes without explicit statutory authority. It is “a basic logical fallacy”
(Appl. 22) for USPS to assume that, just because it has authority to prescribe
unexceptional postage formatting requirements, it necessarily also has the
power to adopt any nonmailability restrictions under the sun. That has not
been the law for over a century, see McAnnulty, 187 U.S. at 109, and as
discussed above, USPS has already acknowledged that it lacks such power, see
91 Fed. Reg. at 54974 (describing “Congress’s authority to create new categories
of ‘nonmailable matter’” (emphasis added)).
Finally, defendants point to 18 U.S.C. § 1341 as support for the
challenged rule. See Appl. 17. But read alongside 39 U.S.C. §§ 3001(d) and
3005(a)(1), Section 1341 merely authorizes USPS to refuse to transmit
materials that serve a “scheme or artifice to defraud.” Construing similar
language, the Court long ago held that the postal service may refuse to deliver
mail on grounds of fraud only in “cases of actual fraud in fact.” McAnnulty,
187 U.S. at 106. State officials sending ballots to voters pursuant to state law
are obviously not engaging in fraud. To the extent USPS wants to obtain more
expansive power to address purported fraud in the mail-voting context, cf. 91
Fed. Reg. at 54969, it should direct its concerns to “the people’s elected
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22
representatives in Congress,” NFIB, 595 U.S. at 121 (Gorsuch, J., concurring).
As a “creature[] of statute,” id. at 117 (majority op.), USPS has no power to act
without congressional authority. And without such authority, the Executive
Branch cannot wield power over federal elections. Our constitutional system
commits that power exclusively to Congress and the States. Supra p. 5.
3. Defendants do not dispute that plaintiffs may bring the foregoing
challenge to USPS’ authority, but argue that judicial review of the claim must
be “narrowly circumscribed” because the agency is “exempted . . . from
ordinary APA review.” Appl. 14 (citing 39 U.S.C. § 410(a)). Even if that were
true as a general matter, but cf. Air Courier Conf. of Am. v. Am. Postal Workers
Union, 498 U.S. 517, 522-523 (1991) (reserving the question), it is not the case
here. Review under the APA is plainly available for “proceedings concerning
the mailability of matter.” 39 U.S.C. § 3001(m). And as USPS has repeatedly
acknowledged, e.g., 91 Fed. Reg. at 54967-59468, this rulemaking is a
“proceeding,” cf. 5 U.S.C. § 551(5), (12) (“agency proceeding” includes “rule
making”). The rulemaking also concerned “the mailability of matter” because
the rule imposes restrictions on whether ballots can be mailed and delivered.
Supra pp. 16-18; see App’x 31a (holding plaintiffs are likely to succeed on their
claim that the challenged rule is contrary to law under 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A)).
Regardless of the APA’s applicability here, USPS’ authority to issue the
challenged rule would still be subject to review. This Court has repeatedly
held that “plaintiffs may sue ‘in equity’ without a congressionally-provided
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23
cause of action ‘to prevent an injurious action by a public officer.’” Trump v.
Cook, 146 S. Ct. 2234, 2251 n.2 (2026) (quoting Armstrong v. Exceptional Child
Ctr., Inc., 575 U.S. 320, 327 (2015)). The decision in Youngstown Sheet & Tube
Co. v. Sawyer, 343 U.S. 579 (1952), provides a classic illustration: plaintiffs
argued that the President’s seizure of steel mills was ultra vires because it was
“not authorized by an act of Congress or by any constitutional provisions.” Id.
at 583. Plaintiffs’ argument here—that USPS lacks any statutory or
constitutional basis for its rule—is materially indistinguishable.
According to USPS, plaintiffs can succeed on an ultra vires claim only by
showing that the rule is “entirely in excess of [USPS’] delegated powers and
contrary to a specific prohibition.” Appl. 14 (quoting NRC v. Texas, 605 U.S.
665, 681 (2025)). If that standard actually applied, plaintiffs would satisfy it:
the rule against adopting mailability restrictions without congressional
authorization has been clear and settled for over a century. Supra pp. 16-22.
But the NRC standard does not apply. This Court has applied it only in cases
where plaintiffs sued outside an otherwise available judicial review scheme.
See NRC, 605 U.S. at 680-682 (Hobbs Act); Leedom v. Kyne, 358 U.S. 184, 187-
188 (1958) (Wagner Act). In NRC, for example, Congress had provided for
judicial review of certain agency orders under the Hobbs Act. 605 U.S. at 674.
But the challengers could not satisfy the Hobbs Act’s requirements, so they
sought to make an “end-run around [its] limitations” by pursuing “ultra vires
review.” Id. at 681. By contrast, where no alternative statutory review scheme
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24
is available, the Court has addressed statutory and constitutional claims
without applying the NRC standard. See, e.g., Cook, 146 S. Ct. at 2246-2251
& n.2; Learning Res., 607 U.S. at 248-255; Trump v. Illinois, 146 S. Ct. at 434.
In those cases, the limit on APA review was the reasoning of Franklin v.
Massachusetts, 505 U.S. 788 (1992), which held that the President is not an
“agency” subject to the APA. Here, if the APA were unavailable, but see supra
p. 22, the relevant limitation would be 39 U.S.C. § 410(a). But USPS identifies
no sensible reason why that should make any difference. It would be highly
anomalous for actions of the President to be subject to greater judicial scrutiny
than those of the U.S. Postal Service. Cf. Franklin, 505 U.S. at 800 (discussing
the “unique constitutional position of the President”). Defendants’ contrary
view—that Congress effectively “eliminated judicial review” of USPS actions,
Appl. 15—would also mean that USPS could engage in hugely consequential
actions, and the judiciary—including this Court—would be virtually powerless
to stop them. It would not be enough for the Court to hold that an agency acted
“entirely in excess of [its] delegated powers”; it would also have to conclude that
the agency acted “contrary to a specific prohibition.” NRC, 605 U.S. at 681
(emphases added). The Court should reject that remarkable contention.
B. The USPS Rule Is Also Procedurally Defective
Serious procedural flaws provide additional reasons to enjoin the new
rule—in particular for this year’s impending midterm elections. Defendants
overlook these arguments when they assert that plaintiffs raise “no claim” that
the rule is unlawful based on its rushed implementation for the imminent
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25
elections. Appl. 7. As discussed below, that is the core of plaintiffs’ procedural
challenges. And although the district court did not reach these arguments,
e.g., App’x 31a n.36, they nonetheless offer alternative grounds to deny the
stay. This Court “‘revie[ws] judgments, not statements in opinions,’” and so—
even when considering an application to stay a preliminary injunction pending
appeal—it does not limit its review to only “the reasons given by the lower
courts.” Cook, 146 S. Ct. at 2251 n.3. The Court considers “any argument
presented below that supports the judgment of the lower court.” Hankerson v.
North Carolina, 432 U.S. 233, 240 n.6 (1977).
1. “One of the basic procedural requirements of administrative
rulemaking is that an agency must give adequate reasons for its decisions.”
Encino Motorcars, LLC v. Navarro, 579 U.S. 211, 221 (2016). An agency’s
decision must be both “‘reasonable and reasonably explained.’” Ohio v. EPA,
603 U.S. 279, 292 (2024). USPS flouted that requirement here by saying
“almost nothing” about its consequential decision to apply the rule to the
imminent November elections. Encino Motorcars, 579 U.S. at 223. Although
the agency briefly noted the “logistical or financial difficulties [that] states may
face complying with the rule,” 91 Fed. Reg. at 54985, the agency nowhere
acknowledged the consequences of States’ inability to comply in time for the
November elections: namely, that millions of Americans will be deprived of
their ability to vote by mail and, in many cases, their ability to vote at all. Infra
pp. 33-40. “[A]n agency cannot simply ignore” such “‘an important aspect of
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26
the problem’ before it.” Ohio, 603 U.S. at 293, 294. USPS had an obligation to
address that problem and take “‘accountability’” for the consequences of its
decision. DHS v. Regents of the Univ. of Cal., 591 U.S. 1, 22 (2020).
Instead, USPS gave only passing mention to States’ “claims that
immediate implementation would prove impossible.” 91 Fed. Reg. at 54985.
Nothing in the final rulemaking suggests that the agency made any effort to
evaluate the plausibility of those serious claims. Rather, the rulemaking’s
reference to “potential[] . . . new costs,” id. (emphasis added), suggests that
USPS failed to actually evaluate States’ arguments about the threatened
consequences for elections administration and voting rights. See Ohio, 603
U.S. at 295 (“awareness” of a concern “is not itself [a sufficient] explanation”).
USPS’ failure to address the impact on mail voting in this fall’s elections
“alone renders” its decision “arbitrary and capricious.” Regents, 591 U.S. at 30.
“But it is not the only defect.” Id. The agency also failed to address “serious
reliance interests” upended by its decision. Encino Motorcars, 579 U.S. at 224.
For example, because States “have long organized their election systems
around existing mail ballot procedures” and relied on USPS to deliver their
ballots, those that are unable to comply with the rule this fall will face
“substantial financial and administrative burdens” in trying to quickly return
to in-person voting. Dkt. 1-1 at 22. In States that “no longer ha[ve] the
infrastructure to accommodate a last-minute reversion to in-person voting,”
immediate implementation of the rule would be “catastrophic.” E.g., Dkt. 4-4
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27
¶ 42; see also infra p. 39. USPS “offered no reasoned response” to these
important concerns. Ohio, 603 U.S. at 293.
USPS’ only explanation for applying the rule to the November elections
was its assertion that “the visibility and law-enforcement benefits of the rule”
justified immediate implementation. 91 Fed. Reg. at 54985. But “conclusory
statements do not suffice to explain” an agency’s decision. Encino Motorcars,
579 U.S. at 224. And elsewhere in the rulemaking, USPS expressly declined
to make any findings about “the incidence of [mail] voter fraud.” 91 Fed. Reg.
at 54969. The agency’s explanation for immediate implementation therefore
does not provide “‘a rational connection between the facts found and the choice
made.’” Ohio, 603 U.S. at 292. And that is particularly so because USPS did
not account for the fact that the purported “visibility and law-enforcement
benefits” will not—and cannot—materialize in States that are unable to
comply with the rule for the fall elections. 91 Fed. Reg. at 59485. “Perhaps
there is some explanation why the number and identity of participating States”
would not change USPS’ calculus about the respective benefits and costs of
immediate implementation, “[b]ut if there is,” “it does not appear in the final
rule.” Ohio, 603 U.S. at 293-294. Plaintiffs are thus “likely to prevail” on the
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28
claim that USPS “failed to supply ‘a satisfactory explanation’” for its decision
to apply the new rule to the November elections. Id. at 294.9
2. USPS also failed to seek an advisory opinion from the Postal
Regulatory Commission before making “a change in the nature of postal
services” that will “generally affect service on a nationwide or substantially
nationwide basis.” 39 U.S.C. § 3661(b). In the final rule, USPS asserted that
it had no obligation to consult with the Commission because the rule will not
have a “meaningful impact” on—or change the nature of—postal services. 91
Fed. Reg. at 54976 (quoting Buchanan v. USPS, 508 F.2d 259, 262 (5th Cir.
1975)). But the rule’s operational changes to how USPS processes mail ballots
will have a meaningful impact on USPS’ delivery of ballots nationwide. See,
e.g., Dkt. 119-1 ¶¶ 108-121 (rule is “incredibly time-consuming,” “burdensome”
on “USPS employees,” and “exacerbate[s] existing [USPS] challenges”). That
such ballots are a “subset” of the mailstream is irrelevant. 91 Fed. Reg. at
54976. USPS has previously requested advisory opinions for proposed changes
that affected only a subset of mail. See, e.g., 87 Fed. Reg. 18044 (Mar. 29, 2022)
9 Even if the Court concluded that the APA is inapplicable here, but see supra
p. 22, it would not make a difference to this claim. The arbitrary-and-
capricious standard predates the APA, which merely “restate[d] the present
law as to the scope of judicial review.” U.S. Dep’t of Just., Att’y Gen. Manual
on Admin. Proc. Act 108 (1947). Courts “have always exercised the power in
appropriate cases to set aside agency action which they found to be . . .
arbitrary [or] capricious.” Id. So even in contexts where courts have treated
USPS as exempt from Section 706(2)(A), they have subjected the agency to a
“reasoned decision-making” requirement. Sears, Roebuck & Co. v. USPS, 844
F.3d 260, 265 (D.C. Cir. 2016); see also Nat’l Ass’n of Postal Supervisors v.
USPS, 26 F.4th 960, 975-976 (D.C. Cir. 2022).
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29
(requesting advisory opinion on changes to retail ground and parcel select
ground mail). And the changes at issue in the rule challenged here are of far
greater “significance” than those. Buchanan, 508 F.2d at 263.
The rule will also change the “nature” of USPS services because the
agency has never before embarked on a ballot-scanning and verification
program or refused to deliver mail ballots to voters. 39 U.S.C. § 3661(b); supra
pp. 12-13. USPS’ conclusory assertion that the rule would not affect the
“experience of the individual postal consumer,” 91 Fed. Reg. at 54976 (quoting
Pennsylvania v. DeJoy, 490 F. Supp. 3d 833, 885 (E.D. Pa. 2020)), ignores that
compliance will be impossible for many States this fall. For that reason, and
because of USPS’ own technological feasibility challenges, infra pp. 33-40,
millions of voters across the Nation likely will not receive the mail ballots to
which they are entitled under state law and by which they exercise their right
to vote—thereby unquestionably affecting the “experience” of those “individual
postal consumer[s].” Had USPS consulted with the Commission, as Congress
intended, the agency would have had to address the technological and
feasibility challenges that are likely to result in an implementation “disaster.”
Katz, Postal Officials Say Trump’s Mail-Ballot Push Will Create Widespread
Errors, NOTUS (Aug. 27, 2026), https://perma.cc/SFX9-BZBD; see also Stmt.
of Comm’r Day, Dkt. C2026-27 (Postal Regul. Comm’n Sept. 3, 2026),
https://perma.cc/YG9P-TDEK (reiterating concerns about USPS’ inadequate
“advance testing and validation”).
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30
USPS argued below that plaintiffs were required to exhaust this claim
with the Commission and then bring it in the D.C. Circuit. See Dkt. 17 at 12
(citing 39 U.S.C. §§ 3662, 3663). That is incorrect. See Washington v. Trump,
487 F. Supp. 3d 976, 981 n.1 (E.D. Wash. 2020); Pennsylvania, 490 F. Supp. 3d
at 856-857 (rejecting similar contention and noting the “irony” of USPS
“bypassing the Commission” and then arguing that it is “Plaintiffs who must
resort to the Commission in order to obtain relief ”). Indeed, that argument is
especially flawed in the circumstances here because plaintiffs’ “‘here-and-now
injur[ies]’” ahead of the imminent November elections would be “impossible to
remedy” through the Commission’s administrative review process. Axon
Enter., Inc. v. FTC, 598 U.S. 175, 191 (2023); see New York v. Trump, 181 F.4th
132, 140 n.3 (D.C. Cir. 2026).
II. EQUITABLE CONSIDERATIONS WEIGH HEAVILY AGAINST A STAY
Defendants fail to show irreparable harm from the preliminary
injunction—certainly nothing comparable to the catastrophic harm that
plaintiffs and the public would suffer if the challenged rule took effect before
this year’s midterms. Defendants’ principal argument is that none of plaintiffs’
evidence of harm—and none of the district court’s extensive findings about
infeasibility—make any difference. “[T]here is no basis,” defendants assert, “to
hold that an otherwise-valid rule . . . becomes invalid simply because it is
adopted sufficiently close to an election,” such that compliance becomes
difficult or infeasible. Appl. 32-33. That assertion is contrary to both settled
law, see, e.g., NetChoice, LLC v. Fitch, 145 S. Ct. 2658, 2658 (2025) (Kavanaugh,
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31
J., concurring), and common sense: it would mean that the federal government
could rush out any election-related policy on the eve of an election, and no
matter how disastrous the consequences for voting rights and elections
administration, no one would have a remedy in court. The Court should reject
that astonishing proposition.
1. Defendants’ assertions of harm are in substantial tension with the
narrow scope of the preliminary injunction. Because the injunction is
inapplicable to “elections after the November 2026 election,” App’x 46a
(emphasis added), it merely preserves the status quo ahead of elections that
are now only 55 days away. For that reason, defendants are mistaken that
“the injunction bars USPS from training its employees to conduct the
verification process.” Appl. 30; see id. at 12. There is nothing blocking USPS
from training employees on the scanning, data-matching, and verification
protocol prescribed by the rule, so long as such training is geared toward future
elections (or even voluntary participation in this year’s elections). App’x 46a.
The injunction is also limited to “the Final Rule’s mandatory provisions”
and thus does not “preclude[] States from voluntarily complying with the Final
Rule.” App’x 46a (emphases added). USPS remains free to continue to develop
the portal, train its employees, and work with States on the design of their
mail ballots on a voluntary basis. States may also choose to seek approval of
their envelopes and upload voter data into the portal whenever it becomes
operational. Cf. App’x 38a (portal “is not . . . operational” as of September 4).
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32
That period of voluntary compliance could prove valuable to USPS, as it would
offer the agency a trial run of its untested technology and data-matching
features and help the agency address serious concerns raised by USPS officials
and postal experts. See, e.g., Dkt. 115 at 15-16 (warning about “slapdash
software development” and “insufficient internal testing”); App’x 41a (noting
“the unproven nature of the [portal’s] new technology”); supra pp. 2-3 (similar).
Defendants’ fears of harms to “election integrity” (Appl. 29) while the
court’s order is in place are wholly unfounded. USPS expressly declined to
resolve “[w]hether or not voter fraud is common or uncommon” when it adopted
the final rule, 91 Fed. Reg. at 54969, and “the record includes no evidence
relating to fraudulent mail voting,” App’x 45a-46a. USPS thus cannot show
that the rule’s immediate implementation is necessary to “address the risk that
the federal mails will be used to perpetrate voter fraud.” Appl. 5. No similar
USPS rule has ever existed. Yet States have long employed protocols to protect
against mail-ballot fraud. See, e.g., Nat’l Conf. of State Legislatures, How
States Verify Voted Absentee/Mail Ballots (updated May 20, 2026),
https://perma.cc/RVF3-9KAL. And studies have repeatedly demonstrated that
fraud related to mail voting is extraordinarily rare, undercutting any claim of
irreparable harm. See, e.g., Dkt. 1-1 at 19 & n.12 (collecting examples).
Nor is the injunction causing irreparable harms akin to those described
in California, 2026 WL 2473573, at *4. Contra Appl. 29. There, the Court
determined that an earlier, related injunction harmed the government because
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33
it prevented it “from even trying to lawfully implement” the President’s EO.
California, 2026 WL 2473573, at *5. But USPS has now promulgated its final
rule, and as this Court recognized, “[i]f the Postal Service’s final rule harms
the States, they may challenge that rule.” Id. at *4. Plaintiffs have
demonstrated that the rule is both extraordinarily harmful and contrary to
statute and the Constitution. See supra pp. 10-22. USPS plainly cannot suffer
irreparable harm from an injunction that merely prevents it from forcing
States to comply with an unlawful rule.10
2. Granting emergency relief would threaten catastrophic harms for
plaintiff States and the public. After considering the unrebutted declarations
in the record, the district court concluded that it would be impossible for
plaintiffs “to pivot this late in the election cycle” to come into compliance with
the rule. App’x 32a; see also Dkt. 119-1 ¶ 18 (expert concluding that “[n]one of
the Rule’s requirements can feasibly be implemented before the November 3,
2026 General Election”). As the district court explained, “[m]ost Plaintiff
10 Defendants’ request to limit the scope of relief to “the California
respondents” (Appl. 34) is perplexing. In Trump v. CASA, Inc., 606 U.S. 831,
859 n.18 (2025), the Solicitor General assured the Court that the federal
government would “respect both [its] judgments and [its] opinions.” If the
Court holds that plaintiffs have shown a likelihood of success on the merits,
supra pp. 10-30, respect for that opinion would surely require USPS to refrain
from executing the rule on a nationwide basis while this litigation proceeds.
In any event, a nationwide remedy is warranted because plaintiffs have shown
that the USPS rule violates the APA, see, e.g., supra p. 22, and Section 705 of
the APA grants courts discretion to award universal interim relief, see, e.g.,
Woonasquatucket River Watershed Council v. USDA, 2026 WL 2279789, at *20
(1st Cir. Aug. 7, 2026) (collecting cases).
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34
States have already ordered their mail ballots” and “have neither time nor
funds to design new mail ballots, seek approval of the new designs, order
production of mail ballots, update their own election management systems,
train election officials to use the USPS portal, and upload citizen data to the
portal, all before the midterms.” Dkt. 31 at 8, 9; see also App’x 32a-43a;
Anderson v. City of Bessemer City, 470 U.S. 564, 575 (1985) (“review of factual
findings under the clearly-erroneous standard—with its deference to the trier
of fact—is the rule, not the exception”).
Wisconsin’s experience is illustrative. As the Wisconsin Elections
Commission chair has explained, “[i]t would be virtually impossible for
Wisconsin to comply with the Rule.” Dkt. 100-1 ¶ 21. Municipal clerks are
required to mail absentee ballots to all requests on file no later than
September 17, and county clerks lack sufficient time (and funds) to reprint the
ballot envelopes they have already printed for the November elections. See id.
¶¶ 6, 13, 15, 29. Wisconsin’s envelopes could only become mailable under the
new USPS rule if the State’s elections officers could “print and hand-affix
stickers with the Rule-compliant IMb codes on” each envelope. Id. ¶ 29. But
that labor-intensive solution invites errors that risk disenfranchising voters.
See id. ¶¶ 32-34. “[A] clerk could easily place the sticker on the wrong envelope
by mistake,” for example, “or mix-up which stickers belong to which voter.” Id.
¶ 32. In any event, completing that work in time for the midterms would be
“impossib[le] for many jurisdictions”—particularly “rural municipalities,”
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which may not even “have the required label printing capability” and “often
have a single employee performing all elections-related work.” Id. ¶ 30.
Like many States, Wisconsin relies on thousands of municipal employees,
rather than centralized state officials, to make changes to voter databases. See
Dkt. 100-1 ¶ 5. To enroll voters with USPS’ new portal, then, those thousands
of employees “would need to be trained in how to use the new technology,
become authorized users, and then enter the data” required by the rule—all by
September 17. Id. ¶ 26. But that is wildly unrealistic. Many of the employees
responsible for completing these tasks “hold the[ir] positions on a part-time
basis, have other full-time jobs, and . . . have little to no administrative
support.” Id. Given these challenges, “full and accurate compliance [with the
rule] is extremely unlikely” in advance of the midterms. Id. The rule thus
risks “disenfranchisement for . . . eligible voter[s]” in Wisconsin—including
“populations that are particularly dependent on absentee voting, such as voters
in rural areas, voters with disabilities, and voters that lack reliable means of
transportation.” Id. ¶ 34.
Other States offer similar accounts. Washington has already printed
millions of voter ballot packets. Dkt. 4-4 ¶ 42. Two of its three printing vendors
have said that they cannot reprint ballot envelopes, and it is “very unlikely”
that the third vendor could reprint envelopes for the entire State. Id. Oregon
has “neither the time nor the money to design, review, and reorder envelopes
before ballots begin to be mailed to [the State’s approximately 3 million] voters
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in mid-September.” Dkt. 4-19 ¶ 37; see id. ¶ 35. In Colorado, nearly 1.3 million
existing ballot return envelopes will have to be discarded, and re-printing these
envelopes “may not even be possible.” Dkt. 4-6 ¶ 42. And Hawai‘i reports it
“may not be possible to get new . . . envelopes delivered to [Hawai‘i] from the
continent on such short notice.” Dkt. 4-10 ¶ 43; see also App’x 34a-36a
(surveying printing problems and concluding that the rule’s “ballot design
requirements . . . will cause Plaintiff States irreparable harm”); Dkt. 119-1
¶ 52 (expert concluding that the rule’s IMb envelope requirements are not
feasible for many jurisdictions before the 2026 election).
The record also reveals other types of serious compliance challenges. For
example, California’s statewide voter-registration system “is not currently
equipped to receive IMb information for individual voters from county election
management systems,” and those county systems are not prepared “to store
and transmit” this IMb information. Dkt. 4-1 ¶ 19. The systems in California’s
58 counties would need to be updated before the State could begin mailing
compliant ballots. Id. Similar modifications to California’s statewide system,
however, have historically “take[n] more than a year to develop, test, . . . and
deploy.” Id. Other States face similar obstacles. See, e.g., App’x 39a-40a &
nn.51-52; Dkt. 4-15 ¶ 24; Dkt. 4-21 ¶ 27; see also Dkt. 4-16 ¶ 52.
According to defendants, these “difficulties are overblown.” Appl. 31; see
id. (characterizing harms to States as “ordinary compliance costs”).
Defendants point out that the intervenor States “support the Rule and contend
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that they will be able to comply.” Id. But in contrast to plaintiff States, who
submitted some 700 pages of declarations from over two dozen senior elections
officials detailing the costs and challenges of compliance, see Dkt. 4,
intervenors submitted a single declaration, which says without detail or
explanation: “[a]lthough my staff are still figuring out some details of
implementation, I believe it is possible to implement this rule for the 2026
General Election,” Dkt. 64-1 ¶ 5. Plaintiffs’ voluminous evidentiary
submissions have also been corroborated by officials in non-plaintiff States—
Utah, in particular, which heavily relies on mail voting. Supra pp. 1, 6. And
given every opportunity to introduce responsive evidence on this point,
defendants made no effort to do so.
Even if plaintiffs could theoretically comply with the new rule, doing so
would present serious risks of errors and disenfranchisement. In
Massachusetts, for example, compliance would require the State’s “351 local
election offices” to “manually capture[] and update[]” the IMb information “for
each voter’s ballot envelopes.” Dkt. 4-2 ¶ 33 (emphasis added). Where
Massachusetts election officials are slated to “mail approximately 1 million
ballots to voters during the 2026 general election,” id. ¶ 43, this kind of manual
data entry creates a risk of errors that could “prevent voters from receiving
absentee or mail-in ballots,” id. ¶ 51; see also Dkt. 119-1 ¶ 112 (expert
explaining that “even a single data error would jeopardize an entire mailing
containing thousands, potentially millions, of individual ballots”). Many other
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States have expressed similar concerns.11 And in Rhode Island—where state
law requires that ballots be placed into an internal certifying envelope enclosed
in an external envelope—the State’s vendor would have to print IMbs for the
two envelopes on separate machines and then later “compile the ballot mail
package by matching the two envelopes.” Dkt. 129 ¶ 6; see id. ¶ 4. The vendor
hopes that it could “perfect[ly] match” the two envelopes, but “this process is
outside [its] established procedure” and “create[s] unnecessary risks for Rhode
Island in its election administration.” Id. ¶ 6.
USPS’ untested new technologies and processes only compound these
substantial risks of error and resulting disenfranchisement. See App’x 41a &
n.53. No one knows, for example, if USPS’ online portal for enrolling voters or
its ballot-scanning technology will actually function as intended—or at
all. E.g., Dkt. 4-1 ¶¶ 28-29. The portal “does not yet exist.” App’x 45a. And
recent revelations from a USPS whistleblower raise significant concerns that
USPS’ new systems will not work, see Dkt. 115, as do comments from an
alarmed member of the Postal Regulatory Commission, supra pp. 4, 29. Nor is
it clear that USPS can competently administer a ballot-scanning, data-
matching, and non-delivery program that is unlike anything it has ever
undertaken. Its recent performance has not been encouraging. See, e.g., Dkt.
4-2 ¶ 18 (discussing recent USPS problems with handling ballot mail); Dkt. 4-
11 See, e.g., Dkt. 4-6 ¶¶ 28, 32-33 (Colorado); Dkt. 4-11 ¶¶ 22, 25-26 (Maine);
Dkt. 4-14 ¶¶ 24, 27-28 (Minnesota); Dkt. 4-15 ¶¶ 24, 26-27 (New Jersey); Dkt.
4-19 ¶¶ 25, 27-28 (Oregon); Dkt. 4-20 ¶¶ 23, 26-27 (Pennsylvania).
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39
4 ¶ 22 (same); Dkt. 4-5 ¶ 18 (same); see also U.S. Gov’t Accountability Off.,
GAO-26-109008, U.S. Postal Service: Urgent Action Needed to Fix
Unsustainable Business Model and Improve Service Performance (Mar. 17,
2026), https://perma.cc/97XZ-RVW3.
For many voters, the unavailability of mail voting would make it
impossible to vote at all. Disabled voters, for example, face so many barriers
to voting in person that mail voting is often “their only option to cast a ballot.”
Davidson, American Association of People with Disabilities Applauds Supreme
Court Protecting Mail Ballot Grace Periods (June 29, 2026),
https://perma.cc/2QGV-4JV2. And in some States, a return to the prior era of
in-person voting is not an option. For example, Washington is an entirely vote-
by-mail State; it “no longer has the infrastructure to accommodate a last-
minute reversion to in-person voting.” Dkt. 4-4 ¶ 42. In Hawai‘i, there is
“insufficient time to coordinate the necessary polling places, volunteers, and
logistical framework that would be necessary to emulate the prior polling place
model that existed prior to the advent of elections by mail.” Dkt. 4-10 ¶ 24; see
also Dkt. 4-19 ¶ 18 (similar with respect to Oregon).
USPS acknowledges that this kind of disenfranchisement would harm the
public interest. See Appl. 5-6, 31. In fact, it has argued for a stay on the
grounds that if injunctive relief is later “vacated on appeal,” States may not
have “time to comply with [the rule’s] requirements, which could well end up
depriving their voters of the ability to vote by mail.” Appl. 26, USPS v.
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40
California, No. 26A297; see also Appl. 5-6. But that is already the case. As the
district court found based on its extensive review of the record, it is impossible
for plaintiff States to comply with the rule now, which jeopardizes their voters’
ability to vote by mail now. See App’x 44a. And plaintiff States are not alone:
Utah’s top elections official has warned that the USPS rule’s rollout would be
an “unmitigated disaster.” Officials in Ohio and Florida have raised similar
concerns. Supra p. 1 & nn.1-2. And a bipartisan coalition of elections officials
has urged USPS to give States at least one year to comply, explaining that
“changes made less than 90 days before an election risk administrative
mistakes and voter confusion.” Bipartisan Policy Ctr., Comment on USPS
Proposed Rule on Ballot Mail (July 6, 2026), https://perma.cc/DX2Y-GA3B.
At this late point, the November election is already underway. At least
two States have already begun to mail out ballots under their ordinary state
laws and processes. Dkt. 100-1 ¶ 14 (Wisconsin); Appl. 29-30 (North Carolina).
There is no good reason to deny other States the same opportunity. “When an
election is close at hand, the rules of the road should be clear and settled.”
Democratic Nat’l Comm. v. Wis. State Legislature, 592 U.S. 1039, 1043 (2020)
(Kavanaugh, J., concurring). Here, the governing rules should be those that
States long ago adopted for mail voting in this year’s election—rules that have
vastly expanded the opportunities for Americans to take part in our democracy.
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CONCLUSION
The application for a stay should be denied.
Respectfully submitted,
ANDREA JOY CAMPBELL ROB BONTA
Attorney General Attorney General of California
Commonwealth of Massachusetts SAMUEL T. HARBOURT
One Ashburton Place Solicitor General
Boston, MA 02108 HELEN H. HONG
Principal Deputy Solicitor General
AARON D. FORD THOMAS S. PATTERSON
Attorney General Senior Assistant Attorney General
State of Nevada AARON D. PENNEKAMP
1 State of Nevada Way, Suite 100 Supervising Deputy Solicitor General
Las Vegas, NV 89119 IAN FEIN
L. NICOLE ALLAN
Deputy Solicitors General
NICHOLAS W. BROWN
Attorney General SETH E. GOLDSTEIN
Supervising Deputy Attorney General
State of Washington
ANNE P. BELLOWS
1125 Washington Street SE
KEVIN L. QUADE
PO Box 40100
LISA C. EHRLICH
Olympia, WA 98504-0100
MALCOLM A. BRUDIGAM
MICHAEL S. COHEN
ROBERT WILLIAM SETRAKIAN
Deputy Attorneys General
September 9, 2026
(Counsel listing continues on next page)
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KRISTIN K. MAYES PHILIP J. WEISER
Attorney General Attorney General
State of Arizona State of Colorado
2005 North Central Avenue 1300 Broadway
Phoenix, AZ 85004 Denver, CO 80203
WILLIAM TONG KATHLEEN JENNINGS
Attorney General Attorney General
State of Connecticut State of Delaware
165 Capitol Avenue, Suite 5000 820 N. French Street
Hartford, CT 06106 Wilmington, DE 19801
BRIAN L. SCHWALB ANNE E. LOPEZ
Attorney General Attorney General
District of Columbia State of Hawai‘i
400 6th Street, NW 425 Queen Street
Washington, DC 20001 Honolulu, HI 96813
KWAME RAOUL AARON M. FREY
Attorney General Attorney General
State of Illinois State of Maine
115 S. LaSalle Street 6 State House Station
Chicago, IL 60603 Augusta, ME 04333
ANTHONY G. BROWN DANA NESSEL
Attorney General Attorney General
State of Maryland State of Michigan
200 Saint Paul Place P.O. Box 30736
Baltimore, MD 21202 Lansing, MI 48909
KEITH ELLISON JENNIFER DAVENPORT
Attorney General Attorney General
State of Minnesota State of New Jersey
445 Minnesota Street, Suite 600 124 Halsey Street, 5th Floor
St. Paul, MN 55101 Newark, NJ 07101
RAÚL TORREZ LETITIA JAMES
Attorney General Attorney General
State of New Mexico State of New York
408 Galisteo Street 28 Liberty Street
Santa Fe, NM 87501 New York, NY 10005
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JEFF JACKSON DAN RAYFIELD
Attorney General Attorney General
State of North Carolina State of Oregon
114 W. Edenton Street 1162 Court Street NE
Raleigh, NC 27603 Salem, OR 97301
PETER F. NERONHA CHARITY R. CLARK
Attorney General Attorney General
State of Rhode Island State of Vermont
150 South Main Street 109 State Street
Providence, RI 02903 Montpelier, VT 05609
JAY JONES JOSHUA L. KAUL
Attorney General Attorney General
Commonwealth of Virginia State of Wisconsin
202 North Ninth Street 17 West Main Street
Richmond, VA 23219 Madison, WI 53707
JOSH SHAPIRO
Governor
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
30 North Third Street, Suite 200
Harrisburg, PA 17101