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        <h1 class="unstyled-title">Texas 2026 U.S. Senate Poll Tracker</h1>
        <div class="blog-meta">
            <time datetime="2026-08-05 08:44:17">August 05, 2026</time> | By:
                                    <a href="/authors/texas-politics-project">Texas Politics Project</a>
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    <div class="blog-article"><p>The table compiles non-partisan public polling in the U.S. Senate race in Texas being contested by Republican Ken Paxton, Democrat Jame Talarico, and Libertarian Ted Brown since the conclusion of the Republican primary in late May. Brown has not been included in all polls.</p>
<p><strong>Updated August 13, 2026:</strong> &nbsp;Added Emerson College Polling survey released August 13.</p>
<p class="rtecenter"><strong style="text-align: center; font-size: 24px;">Texas 2026 U.S. Senate Election Polling&nbsp;</strong></p>
<table style="width: 984px; height: 480.172px; border-collapse: collapse; border-width: 3px; border-spacing: 1px;" border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" align="center">
<thead>
<tr style="height: 49.7969px;">
<th style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>Poll</strong></th>
<th style="width: 117.1px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>Field Dates</strong></th>
<th style="width: 83.6621px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>Sample Size</strong></th>
<th style="width: 88.5254px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>Sample Type</strong></th>
<th style="width: 79.4141px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>MOE</strong></th>
<th style="width: 73.1934px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>Paxton</strong></th>
<th style="width: 69.8633px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>Talarico</strong></th>
<th style="width: 131.123px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>Other</strong></th>
<th style="width: 106.914px; border-width: 3px;" scope="col"><strong>Spread</strong></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="../../../blog/new-ut-texas-politics-project-poll-finds-talarico-leading-paxton-abbott-leading-hinojosa-continued-resistance-to-data-centers-2" target="_blank" rel="noopener">UT/Texas Politics Project</a></td>
<td style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">8/5-8/13</td>
<td style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">1200</td>
<td style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">RV</td>
<td style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-2.8</td>
<td style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">39</td>
<td style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">42</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">Brown 3, someone else/dk 15</td>
<td style="width: 106.924px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Talarico +3</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 27.3984px;">
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="https://emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2026-poll-paxton-and-talarico/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Emerson College</a></td>
<td style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">8/9 - 8/10</td>
<td style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">1000</td>
<td style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">LV</td>
<td style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-3.0%</td>
<td style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">47</td>
<td style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">46</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">Someone else 2; Unsure 5.</td>
<td style="width: 106.924px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Paxton +1</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 49.7969px;">
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/TXP002-Texas-Pulse-Texas-AM-Bush-School-Crosstabs.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bush School/Recon MR</a></td>
<td style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">7/27 - 7/30</td>
<td style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">619</td>
<td style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">LV</td>
<td style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-4.7%</td>
<td style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">43</td>
<td style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">47</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">&nbsp;Unsure/someone else 10</td>
<td style="width: 106.924px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Talarico +4</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 72.1953px;">
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="https://static1.squarespace.com/static/67aa7aa3e284b002cd6a420e/t/6a713767d4ed824b91ea090d/1785804647961/Texas+Statewide+August2026.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">TSU/YouGov</a></td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">7/27 - 7/30</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">1200</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">LV</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-2.8%</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">45</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">47</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">Brown 2, unsure/someone else 6</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 106.924px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Talarico +2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 49.7969px;">
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-gop-divisions-shape-texas-senate-race" target="_blank" rel="noopener">FOX News</a></td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">7/23 - 7/27</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">1006</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">RV</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-3.0%</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">48</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">51</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">Unsure/someone else 1</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 106.924px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Talarico +3</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 49.7969px;">
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/07/01/polls/times-siena-texas-poll-crosstabs.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NY Times/Siena</a></td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">6/19 - 6/27</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">656</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">LV</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-4.5%</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">47</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">47</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">Unsure/someone else 7</td>
<td class="rtecenter" style="width: 106.924px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Even</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 72.1953px;">
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="../../../blog/june-poll-finds-a-competitive-u-s-senate-race-in-texas-amid-continuing-economic-concerns-data-center-backlash" target="_blank" rel="noopener">UT/Texas Politics Project</a></td>
<td style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">6/5 - 6/12</td>
<td style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">1200</td>
<td style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">RV</td>
<td style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-2.8%</td>
<td style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">43</td>
<td style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">42</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">Brown 3, Unsure/someone else 7</td>
<td style="width: 106.924px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Paxton +1</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 49.7969px;">
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="https://quantusinsights.org/f/texas-republicans-lead-statewide-senate-race-starts-close" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Quantus Insights</a></td>
<td style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">6/3 - 6/4</td>
<td style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">800</td>
<td style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">LV</td>
<td style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-3.5%</td>
<td style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">45</td>
<td style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">43</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">Someone else 4, unsure 7</td>
<td style="width: 106.924px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Paxton +2</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 59.3984px;">
<td style="width: 210.01px; border-width: 3px;"><a href="https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/TXPLV-Crosstabs-1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Bush School/Recon MR</a></td>
<td style="width: 117.1px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">6/1 - 6/4</td>
<td style="width: 83.6621px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">807</td>
<td style="width: 88.5254px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">LV</td>
<td style="width: 79.4141px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">+/-4.0%</td>
<td style="width: 73.1934px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">46</td>
<td style="width: 69.8633px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">46</td>
<td style="width: 131.123px; text-align: left; border-width: 3px;">Someone else/unsure 9</td>
<td style="width: 106.943px; text-align: center; border-width: 3px;">Even</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>Previous Updates</h3>
<ul>
<li>Updated August 7, 2026: &nbsp;Added Bush School/Recon MR&nbsp; Pulse Poll<sup>TM </sup>released August 7.</li>
<li>Updated August 5, 2026: &nbsp;First compilation of public polling in the U.S. Senate election for the seat currently occupied by John Cornyn. Check back for updates as new statewide polling is released.</li>
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        <div class="blog-meta"><strong>Keywords:</strong>
                    <a href="/blog/keyword/2026-election">2026 election</a>
                            <a href="/people/james-talarico">James Talarico</a>
                    <a href="/people/ken-paxton">Ken Paxton</a>
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